Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 6

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Petrovsky Stadium (Saint Petersburg)


	Leningradets		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.16	7.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)	4.16 ↑ (3.36)	7.82 ↑ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leningradets
65.8%

Draw
22.3%

Kaluga
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

27%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26.5%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leningradets's performance.

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leningradets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Leningradets - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
48. Shcherbitskiy D. (G) 79. Danilov T. 99. Emelyanov D. 10. Gorelishvili M. 44. Kalugin N. 32. Kulishev A. 19. Maksetsov A. 2. Nikolaev S. 9. Pershin M. 20. Shkolik I. 7. Ukomskiy A.	1. Shakerov R. (G) 7. Akimov E. 14. Chibisov S. 18. Ivanushkin L. 2. Krotov S. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 91. Lukinykh E. 17. Matyushenko I. 4. Polev A. 32. Sokolov I. 8. Yugaldin D.
Substitutes
75. Budachev I. (G) 13. Dushevskiy D. 69. Kozlov D. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 88. Levin V. 17. Muminov I. 31. Orlyansky I. 56. Sidelnikov M. 55. Sukhanov N. 66. Tereshchuk N. 6. Vyskrebentsev A.	23. Boldyrev B. 35. Dorovskikh V. (G) 10. Grishchenko I. 47. Kravtsov Z. 6. Kuzmin A. 12. Lipaev E. 3. Osadchiy I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Pershin M. 🟨,
45+1', Yugaldin D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pershin M. ↓, Sukhanov N. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Shkolik I. ⚽,
61', Chibisov S. ↓, Kuzmin A. ↑,
61', Akimov E. ↓, Kravtsov Z. ↑,
62', Sokolov I. ↓, Lipaev E. ↑,
70', Kuzin N. Y. ↓, Osadchiy I. ↑,
71', Shkolik I. ↓, Levin V. ↑,
80', Emelyanov D. ↓, Muminov I. ↑,
80', Gorelishvili M. ↓, Dushevskiy D. ↑,
86', Ukomskiy A. ↓, Sidelnikov M. ↑,
87', Ivanushkin L. ↓, Boldyrev B. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Kaluga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Leningradets is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Leningradets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Leningradets won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Kaluga	12	0	6	6	6:16	-10	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
29.03.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Leningradets - Sibir Novosibirsk	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Irtysh Omsk - Leningradets	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Leningradets - Rodina Moscow 2	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.02.26	Leningradets - Surkhon Termez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWTL
- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
22.03.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Kaluga	4:1 ✺
15.03.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Kaluga	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Veles Moscow - Kaluga	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.02.26	Kaluga - Astrakhan	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Kaluga - Dynamo Vologda	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
03.11.24	Kaluga - Leningradets	1:3
09.09.24	Leningradets - Kaluga	3:3

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