Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Fall Season - Round 8

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tsentralnyi Stadion (Astrakhan)


	Volgar Astrakhan		Kaluga

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)	3.5 ↑ (3.28)	4.19 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volgar Astrakhan
51.4%

Draw
26.5%

Kaluga
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.7%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

27.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volgar Astrakhan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Kaluga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volgar Astrakhan than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Volgar Astrakhan - Kaluga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yampolskiy V. (G) 69. Anosov D. 34. Dmitriev O. 17. Lesnikov D. 11. Nosov A. 7. Pavlishin A. 23. Petrovskiy Y. 8. Poluboyarinov D. 28. Proshkin E. 67. Volkov K. 58. Zuev I.	1. Eshchenko S. (G) 7. Akimov E. 14. Chibisov S. 33. Daliev D. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 91. Lukinykh E. 27. Muminov I. 94. Nadolsky A. 37. Shevchenko D. 32. Sokolov I. 17. Sychev Y.
Substitutes
47. Agaev A. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 62. Kovalevskiy E. 57. Krotov V. 71. Mamin A. (G) 10. Morozov V. 5. Strelnik M. 25. Yuran A.	11. Balkizov A. 10. Grishchenko I. 18. Ivanushkin L. 66. Makarenko Y. 78. Mukhin E. 31. Pervakov N. 88. Tashaev R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Anosov D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Akimov E. ↓, Pervakov N. ↑,
65', Nosov A. ↓, Kolesnichenko K. ↑,
65', Nadolsky A. ↓, Mukhin E. ↑,
74', Kuzin N. Y. ↓, Ivanushkin L. ↑,
75', Shevchenko D. ↓, Makarenko Y. ↑,
75', Sychev Y. ↓, Grishchenko I. ↑,
77', Volkov K. ↓, Agaev A. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Daliev D. ⚽,
87', Anosov D. ↓, Kovalevskiy E. ↑,
87', Lesnikov D. ↓, Morozov V. ↑,
90+4', Grishchenko I. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Volgar is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Volgar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Volgar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Volgar-Astrakhan	12	1	9	2	12:13	-1	12
10	Kaluga	12	0	6	6	6:16	-10	6

Last Results with these Odds

Volgar Astrakhan - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.62%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volgar Astrakhan
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
30.08.26	Dynamo Bryansk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Spartak Nalchik	3:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
22.08.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Rodina Moscow 2	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Pobeda Khasavyurt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWLTW
- FC Kaluga
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
30.08.26	Kaluga - Alania Vladikavkaz	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
25.08.26	Avangard Kursk - Kaluga	1:2 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
22.08.26	Kaluga - Dynamo Bryansk	0:1 ✺
16.08.26	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Kaluga	1:1 ✺
Russian Cup
12.08.26	Kaluga - Iskra Smolensk	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
03.05.26	Kaluga - Volgar Astrakhan	3:3
15.03.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Kaluga	0:3
20.10.24	Kaluga - Volgar Astrakhan	1:5
25.08.24	Volgar Astrakhan - Kaluga	2:0

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