Match Info

Date: 13 October 2020, Tuesday


	Leningradets		Smolensk

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.75	8.25
	1.4	4.5	5.5
	1.32	4.2	7.2
	1.26	5.43	9.88
	1.32	4.75	8.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.38)	4.73 ↑ (4.58)	7.85 ↑ (5.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leningradets
69.1%

Draw
19.3%

Smolensk
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

19.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

76.9%

16.4%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Smolensk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leningradets, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smolensk than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Leningradets - Smolensk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 and 14).

Leningradets in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Smolensk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leningradets could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leningradets is the unquestionable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Leningradets to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
09.10.20	Znamya Truda - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
04.10.20	Leningradets - Kolomna	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
01.10.20	Leningradets - Chertanovo	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
27.09.20	Chita - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
24.09.20	Zenit Irkutsk - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWW
- FC Smolensk
Russian FNL 2 Group 2
09.10.20	Smolensk - Torpedo Vladimir	1:4 ✺
04.10.20	Rodina Moscow - Smolensk	0:0 ✺
27.09.20	Smolensk - Znamya Truda	1:1 ✺
21.09.20	Kolomna - Smolensk	2:2 ✺
12.09.20	Smolensk - Chita	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTTTW

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