Match Info

RUSSIA: Russian Cup - Regions Path - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday


	Znamya Truda		Leningradets

	1	X	2
	4.78	3.9	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.78 ↓ (5.72)	3.9 ↓ (4.15)	1.64 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Znamya Truda
19.5%

Draw
23.8%

Leningradets
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

22.4%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7%

24.7%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Znamya Truda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Leningradets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znamya Truda than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leningradets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
66', 1 - 0, Kuznetsov P. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Znamya Truda won 0.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Znamya Truda could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leningradets is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Znamya Truda won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Znamya Truda won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Znamya Truda Orekhovo-Zuyevo
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
01.09.24	Znamya Truda - Zvezda St. Petersburg	1:0 ✺
26.08.24	Rodina Moscow 3 - Znamya Truda	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Volga Tver - Znamya Truda	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 2
17.08.24	Znamya Truda - Luki-Energiya	0:0 ✺
11.08.24	Baltika 2 - Znamya Truda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WWWTL
- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
31.08.24	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Leningradets	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Leningradets - Chelyabinsk	0:0 ✺
Russian Cup
21.08.24	Leningradets - MZ-Kristall	4:0 ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
17.08.24	Sibir Novosibirsk - Leningradets	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Leningradets - Avangard Kursk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 2
12.04.21	Leningradets - Znamya Truda	2:1
09.10.20	Znamya Truda - Leningradets	0:1
Russian PFL West
09.11.19	Leningradets - Znamya Truda	0:0
16.08.19	Znamya Truda - Leningradets	0:0
06.04.19	Znamya Truda - Leningradets	1:1
27.08.18	Leningradets - Znamya Truda	0:0

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