Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Fall Season - Round 10

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Petrovsky Stadium (Saint Petersburg)


	Leningradets		Tyumen

	1	X	2
	2.29	3.35	2.67
	2.3	3.4	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.32)	3.38 ↓ (3.4)	2.76 ↑ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leningradets
39.8%

Draw
27.1%

Tyumen
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

27%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

26.8%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tyumen than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Leningradets - Tyumen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smirnov E. (G) 77. Bachinskiy M. 13. Dushevskiy D. 10. Gorelishvili M. 81. Gurenko A. 44. Kalugin N. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 32. Kulishev A. 19. Maksetsov A. 2. Nikolaev S. 20. Shkolik I.	66. Yanovich N. (G) 11. Babaev V. 72. Bem A. 40. Bezchasnyuk A. 19. Bykovskiy A. 33. Lavrenkov A. 13. Petrov M. 8. Pyatkin I. 90. Shakuro P. 17. Shitov V. 97. Talikin D.
Substitutes
75. Budachev I. (G) 94. Bykovskiy I. 8. Gorulev V. 41. Mikushin V. 17. Muminov I. 91. Roshchin A. 56. Sidelnikov M. 18. Sukhanov E. 55. Sukhanov N. 66. Tereshchuk N. 6. Vyskrebentsev A.	99. Abakumov M. 27. Chudin I. 63. Dudarin K. 95. Edapin M. (G) 47. Frolov Y. 24. Grinwald V. 89. Lutsev A. 10. Mokaev I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Nikolaev S. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Bykovskiy A. ⚽,
16', Kudryavtsev R. 🟨,
26', Lavrenkov A. 🟨,
31', Dushevskiy D. 🟨,
33', Kalugin N. 🟥,
37', Shakuro P. 🟨,
38', Dushevskiy D. ↓, Vyskrebentsev A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Bachinskiy M. 🟨,
61', Talikin D. ↓, Chudin I. ↑,
76', Babaev V. ↓, Dudarin K. ↑,
76', Lavrenkov A. ↓, Frolov Y. ↑,
76', Shitov V. ↓, Mokaev I. ↑,
76', Shkolik I. ↓, Sukhanov E. ↑,
86', Bykovskiy A. ↓, Abakumov M. ↑,
86', Bachinskiy M. ↓, Tereshchuk N. ↑,
90+3', Nikolaev S. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).

Recent performances by Leningradets have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tyumen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tyumen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leningradets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Leningradets won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Leningradets - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 39.54%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
14.09.25	Dynamo Kirov - Leningradets	0:1 ✺
06.09.25	Leningradets - Volgar Astrakhan	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	Leningradets - Dynamo 2 Moscow	3:0 ✺
25.08.25	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Leningradets	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
20.08.25	Luki-Energiya - Leningradets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLL
- FC Tyumen
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
14.09.25	Tyumen - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	3:3 ✺
Russian Cup
10.09.25	Volna Kovernino - Tyumen	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
06.09.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Tyumen	1:0 ✺
31.08.25	Tyumen - Veles Moscow	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Tyumen	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
27.07.25	Tyumen - Leningradets	1:0
Russian FNL
25.11.23	Leningradets - Tyumen	1:0
05.08.23	Tyumen - Leningradets	4:0

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