Match Info

Regionalliga East - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Franz Haas Stadion (Leobendorf)


	Leobendorf		Oberwart

	1	X	2
	2.90	3.50	2.05
	2.85	3.6	2
	2.87	3.51	2.03
	2.98	3.75	2.07	Watch
	2.8	3.4	1.99
	3.11	3.6	1.99
	2.88	3.8	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.33)	3.59 ↑ (3.35)	2.02 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leobendorf
30.7%

Draw
24.9%

Oberwart
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

26.3%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leobendorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leobendorf's form might have worsened.

Oberwart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oberwart's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leobendorf than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leobendorf, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oberwart than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oberwart, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leobendorf - Oberwart Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leobendorf won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Oberwart might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leobendorf won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:12. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Leobendorf won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	SV Oberwart	10	7	0	3	21:13	8	21
13	Leobendorf	10	3	2	5	11:15	-4	11

Last Results with these Odds

Leobendorf - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 37.79%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Leobendorf
Austrian Regionalliga East
21.08.26	FCM Arkadia Traiskirchen - Leobendorf	5:4 ✺
14.08.26	Leobendorf - Horn	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	Marchfeld Mannsdorf - Leobendorf	0:1 ✺
31.07.26	Leobendorf - Parndorf	1:1 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
24.07.26	Leobendorf - Rheindorf Altach	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LTWTL
- SV Oberwart
Austrian Regionalliga East
21.08.26	Oberwart - Wienerberg	5:2 ✺
14.08.26	Donaufeld Wien - Oberwart	1:4 ✺
07.08.26	Oberwart - Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Wiener Viktoria - Oberwart	1:2 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.07.26	Oberwart - Red Bull Salzburg	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Regionalliga East
10.04.26	Oberwart - Leobendorf	4:0
26.09.25	Leobendorf - Oberwart	2:1
25.04.25	Oberwart - Leobendorf	1:2
28.09.24	Leobendorf - Oberwart	0:1
25.05.24	Leobendorf - Oberwart	0:5
26.10.23	Oberwart - Leobendorf	0:5

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