The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Leon 29.3%
Draw 28.2%
Chievo 42.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.6%
29%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
27.6%
40.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Chievo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leon than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Leon - Chievo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
55', 0 - 1, Bordo L. ⚽,
62', 0 - 2, Ciccone N. ⚽,
67', 0 - 3, Trillo L. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 4, Vuthaj D. ⚽,
Preview
A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group B Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group B Playoffs).
Leon is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Chievo is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Chievo holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Leon has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Leon against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.