Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui (Itagui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Leones		Boca Juniors de Cali

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	3.10	3.00
	2.12	3.15	3.2	Watch
	2.26	3.17	3.2
	2.22	3.23	3.24	Watch
	2.17	3.1	3.1
	2.17	3.02	3.18	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.18)	3.12 ↑ (2.9)	3.15 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones
42%

Draw
29.1%

Boca Juniors de Cali
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

31.2%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

30%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Boca Juniors de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors de Cali than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Leones - Boca Juniors de Cali Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa J. (G)
13. Arboleda M.
9. Bonilla J.
33. Lopez Posada I.
5. Meneses G.
24. Montoya S.
26. Posada S.
16. Renteria J.
7. Rodriguez Cespedes C.
29. Soto T.
8. Villa D.
Substitutes
12. Arboleda J. (G)
27. Castano J.
35. Echeverry J.
19. Martinez J.
15. Martinez J.
17. Montoya J.
3. Moreno J.
32. Pasos E.
18. Restrepo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Mosquera H. ⚽,
38', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, Aponza J. ⚽,
59', Arboleda M. 🟨,
60', Arboleda M. ↓, Restrepo N. ↑,
60', Lopez Posada I. ↓, Echeverry J. ↑,
60', Soto T. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
70', Bonilla J. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
75', Cortes D. 🟨,
80', Perez L. ↓, Hoyos S. ↑,
80', Cortes D. ↓, Salcedo J. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Rodriguez Cespedes C. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leones won 0.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Leones could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Leones holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Leones has recorded 4 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:18 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Leones against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.8:1.2 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Boca Juniors	11	5	3	3	18:14	4	18
15	Leones	11	2	4	5	8:17	-9	10

Last Results with these Odds

Boca Juniors de Cali - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.27%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones FC
Colombian Primera B
12.09.26	Envigado - Leones	1:1 ✺
04.09.26	Leones - Atlético Cali	0:3 ✺
28.08.26	Independiente Valle del Cauca - Leones	1:0 ✺
24.08.26	Leones - Real Cartagena	1:6 ✺
20.08.26	Leones - Real Cundinamarca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLT
- Boca Juniors de Cali
Colombian Primera B
13.09.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Envigado	2:2 ✺
01.09.26	Barranquilla - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:1 ✺
25.08.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
06.08.26	Real Cundinamarca - Boca Juniors de Cali	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
14.03.26	Boca Juniors de Cali - Leones	2:1
14.07.25	Boca Juniors de Cali - Leones	1:1
03.02.25	Leones - Boca Juniors de Cali	1:1
27.08.24	Leones - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:2
11.03.24	Boca Juniors de Cali - Leones	1:0
31.10.23	Boca Juniors de Cali - Leones	3:3
26.10.23	Leones - Boca Juniors de Cali	3:2

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