Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 23

Date: 17 February 2024, Saturday


	Leones Negros 2		Gavilanes de Matamoros

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	2.95	3.2	2.25
	3.14	3.2	2.2
	3.1	3.2	2.17
	2.95	3.2	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (1.94)	3.18 ↓ (3.38)	2.21 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leones Negros 2
30.3%

Draw
28.6%

Gavilanes de Matamoros
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

27%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

27.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leones Negros 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leones Negros 2's form might have worsened.

Gavilanes de Matamoros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gavilanes de Matamoros's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros 2 than the current prediction. (+17.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leones Negros 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (-15.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gavilanes de Matamoros, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Leones Negros 2 will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Gavilanes Matamoros will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Recent matches Leones Negros 2 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gavilanes de Matamoros is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gavilanes de Matamoros could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Leones Negros 2 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leones Negros 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Leones Negros 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leones Negros 2
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.02.24	Chihuahua - Leones Negros 2	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Leones Negros 2 - Orgullo Reynosa	5:0 ✺
28.01.24	Coras - Leones Negros 2	0:3 ✺
20.01.24	Leones Negros 2 - Real Apodaca	3:1 ✺
12.01.24	Calor de San Pedro - Leones Negros 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWL
- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
10.02.24	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
05.02.24	Colima - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Tecos FC	2:0 ✺
19.01.24	Correcaminos UAT 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Tuzos UAZ	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.09.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Leones Negros 2	3:0
07.04.22	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Leones Negros 2	3:2 penalties
18.09.21	Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	3:2 penalties
22.02.21	Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:1
25.01.20	Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:2

Leones Negros 2 - Gavilanes de Matamoros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide