Match Info

Date: 8 November 2020, Sunday


	Leonesa		Real Oviedo B

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	5.75
	1.48	3.5	6.25
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.47	3.75	6
	1.5	3.84	8.01
	1.5	3.6	7
	1.49	3.84	6.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.5)	3.78 ↑ (3.71)	6.42 ↑ (6.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
61.4%

Draw
24.3%

Real Oviedo B
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

24.6%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

15.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Real Oviedo B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-23%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo B than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Oviedo B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leonesa - Real Oviedo B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Second stage) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 1 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oviedo B is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Oviedo B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Leonesa is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
01.11.20	Lealtad - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
25.10.20	Leonesa - Numancia	0:0 ✺
17.10.20	Sporting de Gijón B - Leonesa	2:4 ✺
Club Friendly
08.10.20	Zamora - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
25.09.20	Leonesa - Rayo Majadahonda	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWTT
- Real Oviedo B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
31.10.20	Real Oviedo B - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
25.10.20	Covadonga - Real Oviedo B	1:3 ✺
18.10.20	Real Oviedo B - Langreo	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.20	Guijuelo - Real Oviedo B	1:1 ✺
25.09.20	Lealtad - Real Oviedo B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWLTW

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