Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 3d 22h 📅 Remind Me


	UD Ourense		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.5	3.25	1.98
	3.54	3.4	2	Watch
	3.51	3.24	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.54)	3.27 ↓ (3.4)	1.97 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UD Ourense
26.1%

Draw
27.8%

Leonesa
46.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27.3%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

25.9%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UD Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Leonesa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UD Ourense than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

UD Ourense - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 19th in the Relegation and 13th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Leonesa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Leonesa is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Cultural Leonesa	9	3	3	3	10:9	1	12
19	UD Ourense	9	1	2	6	3:15	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.10.26	Arenas Club de Getxo - UD Ourense	2:0 ✺
18.10.26	Real Avilés - UD Ourense	3:0 ✺
10.10.26	UD Ourense - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
03.10.26	Real Unión de Irun - UD Ourense	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	UD Ourense - Cacereño	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLWTT
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Copa del Rey
27.10.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.10.26	Leonesa - Pontevedra	1:2 ✺
18.10.26	UD Logroñés - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
12.10.26	Leonesa - Arenas Club de Getxo	4:1 ✺
03.10.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Ourense
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.26	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - UD Ourense	✺

UD Ourense - Leonesa