Match Info

BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 14 November 2022, Monday

Location: Stadion Police (Trebinje)

Referee: Kesic D. (Bih)


	Leotar Trebinje		Borac Banja Luka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	5.25	3.4	1.57
	5.2	3.35	1.55
	5.8	3.5	1.54
	6	3.63	1.57
	4.8	3.6	1.6
	5.6	3.58	1.56	Watch
	6.2	3.5	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (2.96)	3.51 ↑ (3.1)	1.56 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leotar Trebinje
16.3%

Draw
25.8%

Borac Banja Luka
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

29.3%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

29.4%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leotar Trebinje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leotar Trebinje's form might have worsened.

Borac Banja Luka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borac Banja Luka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leotar Trebinje than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leotar Trebinje, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borac Banja Luka than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borac Banja Luka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	4.5%	88.8%

Leotar Trebinje - Borac Banja Luka Predictions

Users Predictions: 89 users predict this event. Leotar will win (votes: 6 - 6.7%). Borac Banja Luka will win (votes: 79 - 88.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 4.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borac Banja Luka: 82.2% – 95.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium - Stadion Police.

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa Conference League (Qualification)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leotar won 1.

Leotar is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borac Banja Luka in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Leotar have a series of home games.

In this match Borac Banja Luka is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Leotar won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 5-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Leotar won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leotar Trebinje
Bosnian Premier League
06.11.22	Leotar Trebinje - Tuzla City	4:0 ✺
29.10.22	Velež Mostar - Leotar Trebinje	1:0 ✺
22.10.22	Leotar Trebinje - Široki Brijeg	1:0 ✺
16.10.22	Leotar Trebinje - Zrinjski Mostar	1:1 ✺
08.10.22	Leotar Trebinje - Sloga Doboj	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WLWTW
- Borac Banja Luka
Bosnian Premier League
06.11.22	Željezničar Sarajevo - Borac Banja Luka	1:2 ✺
29.10.22	Borac Banja Luka - Sloboda Tuzla	3:1 ✺
22.10.22	Igman Konjic - Borac Banja Luka	0:0 ✺
Bosnian Cup
18.10.22	Krupa - Borac Banja Luka	1:3 ✺
Bosnian Premier League
14.10.22	Borac Banja Luka - Posušje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
26.08.22	Borac Banja Luka - Leotar Trebinje	0:1
20.03.22	Borac Banja Luka - Leotar Trebinje	2:0
Bosnian Cup
27.10.21	Leotar Trebinje - Borac Banja Luka	1:2
Bosnian Premier League
16.10.21	Leotar Trebinje - Borac Banja Luka	1:1
25.07.21	Borac Banja Luka - Leotar Trebinje	0:0
04.05.14	Leotar Trebinje - Borac Banja Luka	0:5
30.10.13	Borac Banja Luka - Leotar Trebinje	1:0

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