Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadion Police (Trebinje)

Referee: Topalovic S. (Bih)


	Leotar Trebinje		Sloga Doboj

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	3.4
	2.18	3.1	2.8
	1.96	3.3	3.4
	2.08	3.34	3.61
	1.92	3.38	3.54
	1.96	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.63)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	3.37 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leotar Trebinje
45.4%

Draw
27.6%

Sloga Doboj
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

27.5%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leotar Trebinje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leotar Trebinje's performance.

Sloga Doboj has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sloga Doboj might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leotar Trebinje than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leotar Trebinje that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sloga Doboj than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sloga Doboj could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Leotar Trebinje - Sloga Doboj Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Leotar will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Sloga Doboj will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leotar: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Leotar has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sloga Doboj is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Leotar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Leotar Trebinje
Bosnian Premier League
01.10.22	Leotar Trebinje - Željezničar Sarajevo	0:1 ✺
18.09.22	Leotar Trebinje - Sloboda Tuzla	0:0 ✺
11.09.22	Igman Konjic - Leotar Trebinje	3:1 ✺
04.09.22	Leotar Trebinje - Posušje	0:1 ✺
30.08.22	Sarajevo - Leotar Trebinje	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- FK Sloga Doboj
Bosnian Premier League
01.10.22	Borac Banja Luka - Sloga Doboj	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Željezničar Sarajevo - Sloga Doboj	1:0 ✺
14.09.22	Sloga Doboj - Zrinjski Mostar	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Sloga Doboj - Tuzla City	0:3 ✺
03.09.22	Sloboda Tuzla - Sloga Doboj	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bosnian Premier League
23.07.22	Sloga Doboj - Leotar Trebinje	4:0
Bosnian Prva Liga RS
12.09.20	Sloga Doboj - Leotar Trebinje	2:0

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