Match Info

BELGIUM: NATIONAL DIVISION 1 - ROUND 13

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Leuven B		Excelsior Virton

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.71	3.7	2.33
	2.72	3.65	2.33
	2.65	3.52	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.44)	3.62 ↑ (3.36)	2.31 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leuven B
34.4%

Draw
25.6%

Excelsior Virton
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

26.9%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.2%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leuven B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leuven B than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Leuven B - Excelsior Virton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16).

Recent matches Leuven B is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Leuven B will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oud-Heverlee Leuven B
Belgian National Division 1
11.11.23	Dessel Sport - Leuven B	1:2 ✺
05.11.23	Leuven B - Knokke	1:2 ✺
29.10.23	Leuven B - Heist	1:2 ✺
21.10.23	Thes Sport - Leuven B	0:3 ✺
15.10.23	Leuven B - Hoogstraten	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLWL
- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1
11.11.23	Excelsior Virton - RAAL La Louvière	2:2 ✺
05.11.23	Hoogstraten - Excelsior Virton	3:2 ✺
28.10.23	Excelsior Virton - Thes Sport	0:1 ✺
21.10.23	Excelsior Virton - Namur	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Gent B - Excelsior Virton	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLLL

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