What is the expert prediction for Levadia Tallinn vs Osijek?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Levadia Tallinn vs Osijek. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Levadia Tallinn vs Osijek Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, August 01, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 August 2024, Thursday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Menelaos A. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Croatia	MAXtv To Go
Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Levadia Tallinn		Osijek

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.9	2.15	Watch
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	2.95	3.75	2.15	Watch
	2.96	3.6	2.27
	3.08	3.65	2.14
	3.22	3.54	2.12	Watch
	2.95	3.75	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.52)	3.67 ↓ (4.03)	2.15 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn
31.1%

Draw
25.4%

Osijek
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

22.9%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

22.4%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osijek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Levadia Tallinn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osijek could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	7.7%	76.9%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Levadia will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Osijek will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osijek: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ani O. (G) 7. Tur E. 3. Heitor 6. Peetson R. (C) 2. Schjonning-Larsen M. 11. Ainsalu M. 19. Musaba R. 15. Mavretic T. 36. Joao Pedro 17. Kirss R. 10. Yakovlev I.	1. Cavlina N. (G) 42. Renan Guedes 26. Jelenic L. 3. Duarte A. 22. Jurisic R. 10. Pedro Lima 14. Soldo M. 6. Nejasmic D. 66. Pusic P. 13. Mierez R. (C) 39. Bukvic D.
Substitutes
8. Bah M. 9. Felipe Felicio 26. Fomba B. 45. Jarvelaid H. 25. Kallaste K. 30. Lepistu B. 23. Liivak F. 18. Lopes Gomes A. 5. Roosnupp M. O. 41. Skvortsov M. 99. Vallner K. A. (G) 24. Zakarlyuka A.	9. Ademi K. 55. Cvijanovic I. 18. Farkas N. 7. Jugovic V. 31. Malenica M. (G) 34. Matkovic A. 98. Mikolcic S. 5. Mkrtchyan S. 36. Omerovic N. 15. Sajko T. (G) 4. Vrbanac K. 12. Zivkovic F.
Coaches
Torres C.	Coppitelli F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Mavretic T. 🟨,
39', Joao Pedro 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nejasmic D. ↓, Jugovic V. ↑,
46', Musaba R. ↓, Lopes Gomes A. ↑,
51', Bukvic D. ↓, Matkovic A. ↑,
59', Renan Guedes 🟨,
61', Soldo M. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Pusic P. ⚽, Mierez R. (A),
65', Mavretic T. ↓, Roosnupp M. O. ↑,
65', Yakovlev I. ↓, Liivak F. ↑,
71', Kirss R. ↓, Skvortsov M. ↑,
76', Mierez R. ↓, Ademi K. ↑,
76', Pusic P. ↓, Omerovic N. ↑,
78', Joao Pedro ↓, Bah M. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-5.

Recent matches Levadia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Osijek is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Osijek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Osijek will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Levadia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Osijek - Levadia Tallinn	5:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
21.07.24	Levadia Tallinn - Kuressaare	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.07.24	Levadia Tallinn - FA Šiauliai	0:0 ✺
11.07.24	FA Šiauliai - Levadia Tallinn	0:2 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.24	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTTWW
- NK Osijek
UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Osijek - Levadia Tallinn	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.24	DAC Dunajská Streda - Osijek	3:2 ✺
13.07.24	Osijek - Rukh Lviv	3:1 ✺
07.07.24	Osijek - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	2:2 ✺
03.07.24	Jablonec - Osijek	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
25.07.24	Osijek - Levadia Tallinn	5:1

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