Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 July 2023, Thursday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Savovic M. (Mne)


	Levadia Tallinn		Žilina

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	1.85	Watch
	3.6	3.5	1.87
	3.45	3.8	1.92
	3.4	3.6	1.91
	3.66	3.48	2
	3.7	3.75	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.55)	3.66 ↑ (3.5)	1.93 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn
26.3%

Draw
25.4%

Žilina
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

26.4%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Levadia Tallinn's form might have worsened.

Žilina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Žilina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levadia Tallinn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žilina than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Žilina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13%	17.4%	69.6%

Levadia Tallinn - Žilina Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Levadia will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Žilina will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Žilina: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Vallner K. A. (G) 7. Tur E. 3. Heitor 26. Fomba B. 2. Schjonning-Larsen M. 11. Ainsalu M. 6. Peetson R. (C) 15. Mavretic T. 14. Agyiri E. 20. Bessala M. 10. Yakovlev I.	30. Belko L. (G) 23. Minarik J. 18. Stojchevski A. 25. Nemcik T. (C) 66. Rusnak M. 11. Gidi S. 37. Sauer M. 20. Bari K. 29. Duris D. 19. Jambor T. 8. Essomba Bikoula A. L.
Substitutes
1. Ani O. (G) 36. Joao Pedro 19. Kirss R. 30. Lepistu B. 5. Roosnupp M. O. 23. Valja H. 29. Vassiljev N. 18. Velijev M. 24. Zakarlyuka A.	6. Adang X. 13. Addo H. 1. Badzgon J. (G) 22. Belanik S. (G) 14. Bille E. 16. Ilko P. 27. Javorcek D. 33. Kopas A. 4. Kopasek S. 3. Leitner P. 7. Myslovic P. 17. Ndjeungoue J. W.
Coaches
Torres C.	Hynek J.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.

Levadia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Žilina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Žilina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Levadia have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Levadia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Žilina - Levadia Tallinn	2:1 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
09.07.23	Levadia Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	3:0 ✺
01.07.23	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	3:0 ✺
28.06.23	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	0:0 ✺
11.06.23	Levadia Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWTW
- MSK Žilina
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Žilina - Baník Ostrava	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Žilina - Levadia Tallinn	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.07.23	Wolfsberger - Žilina	2:2 ✺
04.07.23	Universitatea Cluj - Žilina	1:1 ✺
28.06.23	Zlín - Žilina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
13.07.23	Žilina - Levadia Tallinn	2:1

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