Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 30

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Lorenz J. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Soccernet TV


	Levadia Tallinn		Tallinna Kalev

	1	X	2
	1.04	13.51	44.62
	1.05	10	28	Watch
	1.03	10	19
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.04 ↑ (1.03)	11.17 ↑ (10)	30.54 ↑ (19)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Levadia Tallinn
88.7%

Draw
8.3%

Tallinna Kalev
3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.4%

8.9%

4.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Levadia Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.25 - Levadia (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Levadia (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Vallner K. (G) 7. Tur E. 35. Iboro V. 15. Mavretic T. (C) 4. Tammik T. 2. Schjonning-Larsen M. 36. Joao Pedro 11. Ainsalu M. 28. Torres C. 5. Roosnupp M. 9. Tambedou B.	13. Weinstein M. (C) 6. Palutaja H. 44. Dubackic D. 45. Bamijoko A. 15. Ojamaa H. 16. Surogin A. 21. Petrunin D. 50. Sambe F. 20. Udebuluzor M. 10. Jurisoo T. 9. Usta T.
Substitutes
14. Agyiri E. 1. Ani O. (G) 71. Kaua Davi 17. Kirss R. 59. Lehtmets G. 10. Lepistu B. 23. Liivak F. 19. Musaba R. 6. Peetson R. 41. Skvortsov M. 24. Zakarlyuka A.	2. Famuditimi H. 4. Jallow M. 99. Lepp S. (G) 18. Mihhailov V. 12. Purje A. 37. Sheviakov D. 17. Smirnov R. 22. Sotsugov D. 24. Sukunda Z. 14. Svedovski A.
Coaches
Torres C.	Barengrub A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Roosnupp M. ⚽, Schjonning-Larsen M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Roosnupp M. ↓, Peetson R. ↑,
46', Udebuluzor M. 🟨,
49', 2 - 0, Ainsalu M. ⚽,
62', Usta T. ↓, Purje A. ↑,
62', Ojamaa H. ↓, Sotsugov D. ↑,
69', Petrunin D. 🟨,
73', 3 - 0, Ainsalu M. ⚽, Mavretic T. (A),
74', Tambedou B. ↓, Agyiri E. ↑,
74', Mavretic T. ↓, Liivak F. ↑,
79', Bamijoko A. ↓, Jallow M. ↑,
79', Ainsalu M. ↓, Skvortsov M. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Purje A. ⚽, Udebuluzor M. (A),
84', Liivak F. 🟥,
90+4', Vallner K. 🟨,
90+7', Torres C. ↓, Zakarlyuka A. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 4.

Recent performances by Levadia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kalev has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Levadia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Levadia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 18 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 63:9. (average 3.2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Levadia won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:6. (average 3.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
24.09.25	Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn	2:3 ✺
21.09.25	Nõmme Kalju - Levadia Tallinn	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Tammeka - Levadia Tallinn	2:2 ✺
29.08.25	Levadia Tallinn - Narva Trans	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLTW
- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Meistriliiga
21.09.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Tallinna Kalev	1:0 ✺
17.09.25	Tallinna Kalev - Paide LM	0:3 ✺
14.09.25	Kuressaare - Tallinna Kalev	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Tallinna Kalev - Flora Tallinn	0:4 ✺
23.08.25	Narva Trans - Tallinna Kalev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
17.08.25	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn	1:6
18.06.25	Levadia Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	4:0
19.04.25	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn	0:9
27.09.24	Levadia Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	4:0
22.05.24	Levadia Tallinn - Tallinna Kalev	2:2
16.04.24	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn	1:2
16.03.24	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn	0:2

Upcoming Matches