Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 6

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	Lewes		Cray Wanderers

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.7
	2.05	3.5	2.92
	2.02	3.71	3.12
	2.06	3.48	3.19	Watch
	2.19	3.54	3.03
	2.45	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.41)	3.48 ↑ (3.42)	2.9 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lewes
42.3%

Draw
26.3%

Cray Wanderers
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

26.4%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

26.1%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lewes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Cray Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lewes than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Wanderers than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Lewes - Cray Wanderers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lewes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Hamouchene A. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Chadwick F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
63', Bennett K. 🟨,
78', 2 - 1, Nzala A. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 2, Taylor Q. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 3.

Lewes is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cray has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cray may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cray has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Lewes won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Lewes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.2:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Lewes - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.42%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Cray Wanderers - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.22%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lewes FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.08.25	Lewes - Burgess Hill Town	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	Lewes - Potters Bar Town	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Welling United - Lewes	0:1 ✺
11.08.25	Carshalton Athletic - Lewes	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Lewes - Hashtag United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 WWWWL
- Cray Wanderers
English FA Cup
30.08.25	Cray Wanderers - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
25.08.25	Cray Wanderers - Brentwood Town	1:5 ✺
23.08.25	Billericay Town - Cray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Cray Wanderers - Wingate & Finchley	3:2 ✺
12.08.25	Cray Wanderers - Folkestone Invicta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
26.04.25	Lewes - Cray Wanderers	4:3
24.08.24	Cray Wanderers - Lewes	1:3
06.01.24	Cray Wanderers - Lewes	1:1
12.08.23	Lewes - Cray Wanderers	1:0
28.01.23	Cray Wanderers - Lewes	2:2
12.11.22	Lewes - Cray Wanderers	0:0
25.01.22	Lewes - Cray Wanderers	2:0

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