Match Info

Jia League - Round 5

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Olympic Sports Centre Stadium (Shenyang)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Liaoning Tieren		Shenzhen Juniors

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.36	4.1	7.75
	1.17	6	13
	1.2	6.2	18.54
	1.22	5.32	16.64	Watch
	1.36	3.8	9
	1.16	5.75	15.5	Watch
	1.17	6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)	5.31 ↑ (4.41)	13.35 ↑ (9.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liaoning Tieren
75.5%

Draw
17.5%

Shenzhen Juniors
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

21%

9.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.9%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liaoning Tieren's performance.

Shenzhen Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liaoning Tieren than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shenzhen Juniors than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Liaoning Tieren - Shenzhen Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Shenzhen Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Shenzhen Juniors (4.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Shenzhen Juniors (12.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Shenzhen Juniors (10.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1, 2nd Half - Shenzhen Juniors (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +2 - Shenzhen Juniors (2.15) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB, 1st Half - Shenzhen Juniors (6.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC, 1st Half - Shenzhen Juniors (2.17) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.75, 1st Half - Shenzhen Juniors (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shenzhen Juniors will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Shenzhen Juniors (votes: 14 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
20. Liu Weiguo (G) 21. Nur Sherzat 5. Li Peng 3. Pan Ximing 28. Xu Dong 18. Tian Yinong 15. Felipe 8. Samuel A. 10. Kunimoto T. (C) 14. Zang Yifeng 9. Mbenza G.	23. Cheng Yuelei (C) 33. Tian Yifan 14. Huang Jiajun 25. Gao J. 4. Gao K. 18. Shi Yucheng 28. Li Yingjian 45. Huang K. 10. Xie Baoxian 38. Nouble J. 17. Hu Ming
Substitutes
27. Chen Yongze 19. Gao Haisheng 6. Gao Jiarun 11. Gui Zihan 32. Mao Kaiyu 33. Sun Weijia 36. Tian Deao 25. Yang Jian 37. Zhang Jiaming 23. Zhang Zhibo (G) 17. Zhao Jianbo 41. Zheng Zhiyun	15. Chen Weiqi 31. Chen Zirong (G) 7. Han Guanghui 6. Liang Rifu 11. Lu J. 26. Mai Sijing 20. Men Yang 1. Wang Shihan (G) 35. Zeng Y. 27. Zhao S. 32. Zhu G. 39. Zu Pengchao
Coaches
Li Jinyu	Zhang Jun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Huang K. ⚽, Tian Yifan (A),
13', 1 - 1, Samuel A. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
23', Gao K. 🟥,
34', 2 - 1, Samuel A. ⚽, Zang Yifeng (A),
42', 3 - 1, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Xie Baoxian ↓, Lu J. ↑,
46', Nouble J. ↓, Chen Weiqi ↑,
46', Nur Sherzat ↓, Zhang Jiaming ↑,
55', 4 - 1, Samuel A. ⚽, Felipe (A),
64', Shi Yucheng ↓, Liang Rifu ↑,
64', Cheng Yuelei ↓, Wang Shihan ↑,
64', Tian Yifan ↓, Mai Sijing ↑,
65', 5 - 1, Samuel A. ⚽, Tian Yinong (A),
69', Li Yingjian 🟨,
72', 6 - 1, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Samuel A. (A),
73', Samuel A. ↓, Gao Jiarun ↑,
73', Felipe ↓, Tian Deao ↑,
74', Gao J. 🟨,
76', Tian Yinong ↓, Zhao Jianbo ↑,
87', Zang Yifeng ↓, Gui Zihan ↑,
87', Li Peng ↓, Mao Kaiyu ↑,
90', 7 - 1, Mbenza G. ⚽, Kunimoto T. (A),

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

Liaoning Tieren is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Shenzhen Juniors is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Liaoning Tieren have a series of guest games.

In this match Liaoning Tieren is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Liaoning Tieren to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese FA Cup
18.04.25	Lanzhou Longyuan - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
12.04.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Liaoning Tieren - Yanbian Longding	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Liaoning Tieren	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWWLW
- Shenzhen Juniors FC
Chinese FA Cup
18.04.25	Guangdong Mingtu - Shenzhen Juniors	2:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Jia League
13.04.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Chongqing Tongliang Long	0:3 ✺
30.03.25	Ningbo Professional - Shenzhen Juniors	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Shenzhen Juniors - Foshan Nanshi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLLW

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