Match Info

CHINA: Jia League - Round 1

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Liaoning Tieren

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.2	3.2	1.77
	9.4	5	1.26	Watch
	4.84	3.39	1.73
	11.09	5.11	1.28	Watch
	6	3.5	1.55
	9.32	5.12	1.3	Watch
	9.4	5	1.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.75 ↑ (4)	4.33 ↑ (3)	1.45 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
12.3%

Draw
22%

Liaoning Tieren
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

30.3%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangxi Pingguo Haliao's form might have worsened.

Liaoning Tieren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Liaoning Tieren's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guangxi will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Liaoning Tieren will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liaoning Tieren: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Han Zhen (G) 29. Fu Shang 45. Huang Wei 26. Nkaka A. 6. Ge Hailun 16. Zhang Zili 31. Zhang S. 10. Asamoah S. 11. Liu Hao 9. Mateus 8. Hu Jiajin	20. Liu Weiguo (G) 28. Xu Dong 6. Gao Jiarun 5. Li Peng 41. Zheng Zhiyun 14. Zang Yifeng 18. Tian Yinong 15. Felipe 8. Kouame A. S. 9. Mbenza G. 10. Kunimoto T.
Substitutes
19. Chen Quanjiang 25. Chen S. 33. Ding Quancheng 22. He L. (G) 39. Lu Chenghe 30. Wang Lingke 18. Yang H. 17. Yang Jingfan 5. Yao Diran 14. Yao Y. 3. Zhang Hui 7. Zhang Ran	1. Ablet Kudirat (G) 27. Chen Y. 19. Gao Haisheng 11. Gui Zihan 37. Jiaming Z. 32. Mao Kaiyu 3. Pan Ximing 33. Sun Weijia 36. Tian D. 16. Wang Tianci 25. Yang Jian 17. Zhao Jianbo
Coaches
Zhou L.	Li J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Zang Yifeng ⚽, Zheng Zhiyun (A),
23', Fu Shang ↓, Yao Y. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
71', Zhang S. ↓, Yao Diran ↑,
79', 0 - 2, Kouame A. S. ⚽,
85', Huang Wei 🟨,
87', Zang Yifeng ↓, Chen Y. ↑,
88', 0 - 3, Mbenza G. ⚽,
90', Gao Jiarun ↓, Jiaming Z. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangxi won 1.

In this match Liaoning Tieren is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Guangxi won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Guangxi won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 2.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
03.11.24	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
26.10.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Heilongjiang Ice City	1:0 ✺
20.10.24	Nanjing City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	4:1 ✺
12.10.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Yanbian Longding	3:2 ✺
05.10.24	Guangzhou Evergrande - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLWT
- Liaoning Tieren FC
Chinese Jia League
03.11.24	Liaoning Tieren - Yunnan Yukun	2:1 ✺
26.10.24	Foshan Nanshi - Liaoning Tieren	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	Liaoning Tieren - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:2 ✺
12.10.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Liaoning Tieren	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Wuxi Wugou - Liaoning Tieren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
14.07.24	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1
17.03.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren	1:1
09.09.23	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0
27.05.23	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren	4:0
29.11.22	Liaoning Tieren - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:1
04.11.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Liaoning Tieren	2:2

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