Match Info

COSTA RICA: LIGA DE ASCENSO - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11

Date: 3 March 2023, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Liberia		Carmelita

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.1
	1.72	3.25	3.95
	1.7	3.35	4.1
	1.71	3.45	4.03
	1.75	3.55	4.3
	1.73	3.45	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.72)	3.39 ↓ (3.48)	4.13 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liberia
51.9%

Draw
26.4%

Carmelita
21.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.9%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

27.6%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liberia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

The chances for Carmelita have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liberia than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Liberia - Carmelita Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Liberia won 1.

Recent matches Liberia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Carmelita is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Liberia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Liberia is a favorite.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Liberia won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liberia
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
26.02.23	Puerto Golfito - Liberia	1:1 ✺
22.02.23	Jicaral - Liberia	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Liberia - Quepos	4:0 ✺
11.02.23	Liberia - Municipal Garabito	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Liberia - Sarchi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLWWL
- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
26.02.23	Carmelita - Jicaral	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Cofutpa - Carmelita	0:1 ✺
10.02.23	Carmelita - Puerto Golfito	1:0 ✺
05.02.23	Quepos - Carmelita	0:0 ✺
27.01.23	Carmelita - Sarchi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
20.01.23	Carmelita - Liberia	2:0
24.09.22	Carmelita - Liberia	0:1
06.08.22	Liberia - Carmelita	1:1
08.05.22	Liberia - Carmelita	0:2
01.05.22	Carmelita - Liberia	2:2
27.03.22	Liberia - Carmelita	1:0
11.02.22	Carmelita - Liberia	0:1

Liberia - Carmelita

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Liberia - Carmelita Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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