Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 19 March 2025, Wednesday


	Carmelita		Sarchi

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.95
	3.1	3.45	2.04
	3.3	3.59	2.07	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2
	3.24	3.58	1.96
	3.1	3.45	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (4.11)	3.5 (3.5)	2.01 ↑ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carmelita
28.6%

Draw
26.1%

Sarchi
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

26.5%

50.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

25.7%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carmelita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carmelita's performance.

Sarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carmelita than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carmelita that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarchi than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Carmelita - Sarchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Camacho L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 0.

Recent matches Carmelita is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sarchi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Sarchi is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Carmelita won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14:19 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Carmelita won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:6 (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportiva Carmelita
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
16.03.25	Jicaral - Carmelita	1:1 ✺
10.03.25	Carmelita - Quepos	0:2 ✺
06.03.25	Carmelita - Municipal Grecia	4:2 ✺
03.03.25	Deportivo Upala - Carmelita	1:2 ✺
19.02.25	Carmelita - San Carlos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLWWT
- AD Sarchi
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
16.03.25	Sarchi - San Carlos	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Cofutpa - Sarchi	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Sarchi - Inter San Carlos	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Sarchi - Jicaral	1:0 ✺
19.02.25	Quepos - Sarchi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
05.02.25	Sarchi - Carmelita	2:1
09.10.24	Sarchi - Carmelita	1:0
21.08.24	Carmelita - Sarchi	2:2
01.03.24	Carmelita - Sarchi	0:2
20.01.24	Sarchi - Carmelita	0:0
18.09.23	Sarchi - Carmelita	4:3
04.08.23	Carmelita - Sarchi	3:1

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