Match Info

COSTA RICA: LIGA DE ASCENSO - CLAUSURA - ROUND 18

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday


	Liberia		Jicaral

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.8
	2.23	3.25	2.63
	2.27	3.13	3.09
	2.23	3.32	2.97
	2.25	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (1.97)	3.25 ↓ (3.36)	2.87 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liberia
40.6%

Draw
27.8%

Jicaral
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

26.9%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

27.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liberia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liberia's form might have worsened.

Jicaral has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liberia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liberia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jicaral than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Liberia - Jicaral Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).

Liberia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jicaral in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Jicaral could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Liberia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Liberia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liberia
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
01.04.23	Quepos - Liberia	0:1 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
28.03.23	Liberia - South Africa	1:2 ✺
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
26.03.23	Municipal Garabito - Liberia	1:3 ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
24.03.23	South Africa - Liberia	2:2 ✺
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
18.03.23	Sarchi - Liberia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWTW
- ADR Jicaral
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
01.04.23	Jicaral - Municipal Garabito	3:1 ✺
25.03.23	Cofutpa - Jicaral	0:2 ✺
19.03.23	Jicaral - Puerto Golfito	9:0 ✺
11.03.23	Quepos - Jicaral	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Jicaral - Sarchi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
22.02.23	Jicaral - Liberia	3:0
26.11.22	Liberia - Jicaral	3:2
19.11.22	Jicaral - Liberia	2:2
30.10.22	Jicaral - Liberia	2:3

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