The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Licata 32.2%
Draw 27.3%
Siracusa 40.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.4%
30.6%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
30.1%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Licata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Siracusa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Licata than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Siracusa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Licata - Siracusa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+6', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group I Playoffs and 11th).
Licata arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Siracusa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Siracusa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Licata has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:9 (averaging 0.7:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Licata against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:6 goals (averaging 0:3 per game).
Watch
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