Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 7

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Nicola De Simone (Siracusa) 🌤️ ...


	Siracusa		Vigor Lamezia

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.40	4.20
	1.65	3.35	4.50
	1.7	3.53	4.54	Watch
	1.66	3.40	4.45
	1.67	3.40	4.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	3.42 ↑ (3.3)	4.46 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
53.6%

Draw
26.3%

Vigor Lamezia
20.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.3%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Siracusa - Vigor Lamezia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 13th in the Serie D - Group I (Play Out: ) and 12th).

Siracusa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vigor Lamezia has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Vigor Lamezia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vigor Lamezia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Siracusa for this game.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Siracusa	9	4	3	2	13:8	5	8
14	Vigor Lamezia	9	2	2	5	10:17	-7	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.10.26	Milazzo - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Siracusa - Modica	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Digiesse PraiaTortora - Siracusa	0:0
16.09.26	Siracusa - Gela	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Vibonese - Siracusa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWT
- Vigor Lamezia
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Vigor Lamezia - Gelbison Cilento	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.10.26	Vigor Lamezia - Castrumfavara	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Vigor Lamezia - Reggina	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Vigor Lamezia - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
01.11.26	Avola - Siracusa	✺

Siracusa - Vigor Lamezia