Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Siracusa		Vigor Lamezia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.3	4.3
	1.74	3.4	4.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.7)	3.35 ↑ (3.3)	4.38 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siracusa
52.5%

Draw
26.9%

Vigor Lamezia
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

27%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

25.5%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siracusa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siracusa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13th in the Serie D - Group I (Play Out: ) and 12th).

Siracusa has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Vigor Lamezia has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Siracusa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Vigor Lamezia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bookmakers give the edge to Siracusa for this game.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Vigor Lamezia	6	1	2	3	7:13	-6	5
13	Siracusa	6	3	2	1	8:5	3	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siracusa Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.10.26	Milazzo - Siracusa	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Siracusa - Modica	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Digiesse PraiaTortora - Siracusa	0:0
16.09.26	Siracusa - Gela	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Vibonese - Siracusa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWT
- Vigor Lamezia
Coppa Italia Serie D
07.10.26	Vigor Lamezia - Gelbison Cilento	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group I
04.10.26	Vigor Lamezia - Castrumfavara	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Sambiase - Vigor Lamezia	4:1 ✺
20.09.26	Vigor Lamezia - Reggina	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Vigor Lamezia - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLT

Siracusa - Vigor Lamezia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide