Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 24

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Lichtenberg		Babelsberg

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	1.88
	3.64	3.6	1.79
	3.5	3.3	1.91
	3.75	3.65	1.87
	3.4	3.8	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	3.57 ↑ (3.25)	1.87 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lichtenberg
25.9%

Draw
25.4%

Babelsberg
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.3%

27.7%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

25.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lichtenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Babelsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lichtenberg than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Babelsberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lichtenberg - Babelsberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Regionalliga Nordost (Relegation) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lichtenberg won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Babelsberg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lichtenberg won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lichtenberg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Lichtenberg 47
German Regionalliga Nordost
19.03.23	Meuselwitz - Lichtenberg	0:2 ✺
04.03.23	Lichtenberg - Luckenwalde	1:1
24.02.23	Altglienicke - Lichtenberg	3:0 ✺
18.02.23	Lichtenberg - Chemie Leipzig	0:0 ✺
13.02.23	Energie Cottbus - Lichtenberg	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WTLTL
- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
21.03.23	Altglienicke - Babelsberg	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Babelsberg - Greifswald	1:2 ✺
03.03.23	Babelsberg - Tennis Borussia Berlin	0:0
26.02.23	Luckenwalde - Babelsberg	3:1 ✺
18.02.23	Babelsberg - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
01.10.22	Babelsberg - Lichtenberg	2:2
19.12.21	Lichtenberg - Babelsberg	0:1
31.07.21	Babelsberg - Lichtenberg	1:0
04.10.20	Lichtenberg - Babelsberg	3:0
07.03.20	Babelsberg - Lichtenberg	4:1
15.09.19	Lichtenberg - Babelsberg	0:0

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