Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 24

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Lidkoping		Vänersborgs FK

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.50	3.70
	1.84	3.45	3.25
	1.76	3.71	3.93
	1.91	3.75	3.36	Watch
	1.68	3.65	3.85
	1.82	4.05	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.12)	3.69 ↑ (3.4)	3.6 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lidkoping
50.3%

Draw
24.5%

Vänersborgs FK
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

24.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lidkoping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lidkoping's performance.

Vänersborgs FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vänersborgs FK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lidkoping than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lidkoping that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vänersborgs FK than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vänersborgs FK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lidkoping - Vänersborgs FK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Lennerskog O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 11th and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lidkoping won 1.

Lidkoping is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Vänersborgs FK have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lidkoping is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Lidkoping has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:25 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Lidkoping against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:7 goals (averaging 1.2:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Vanersborgs FK	24	8	4	12	30:40	-10	28
9	Lidkoping	24	7	6	11	29:42	-13	27

Last Results with these Odds

Lidkoping - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 41.52%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lidkopings FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
26.09.26	Kumla - Lidkoping	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Lidkoping - Vänersborgs IF	5:2 ✺
13.09.26	Lidkoping - Herrestads	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Grebbestad - Lidkoping	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Lidkoping - Skara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWWT
- Vänersborgs FK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
26.09.26	Vänersborgs FK - Husqvarna	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Vänersborgs FK - Tord	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Stenungsunds - Vänersborgs FK	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	Vänersborgs FK - Ahlafors	1:0 ✺
29.08.26	Karlstad II - Vänersborgs FK	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
17.04.26	Vänersborgs FK - Lidkoping	2:1
27.06.25	Vänersborgs FK - Lidkoping	1:1
25.04.25	Lidkoping - Vänersborgs FK	0:0
20.10.24	Lidkoping - Vänersborgs FK	3:0
07.06.24	Vänersborgs FK - Lidkoping	3:1
06.08.23	Lidkoping - Vänersborgs FK	1:0
02.04.23	Vänersborgs FK - Lidkoping	1:1

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