Match Info

Date: 8 July 2021, Thursday


	Liepāja		Struga

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	5.25	Watch
	1.53	3.6	5.5
	1.47	3.7	5.8
	1.49	3.54	6.06
	1.52	3.4	5.8
	1.55	3.9	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.99)	3.65 ↑ (3.39)	5.66 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liepāja
59.3%

Draw
24.7%

Struga
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.7%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

20.6%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liepāja's performance.

Struga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Struga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Struga than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Struga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.5%	9.6%	1.9%

Liepāja - Struga Predictions

Users Predictions: Liepāja will win (46 of 52 users predict this - 88.46%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.78% – 97.14%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Liepāja in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Struga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Struga could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Struga have a series of home games.

In this match Liepāja is a favorite.

Struga is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
01.07.21	Liepāja - Riga	1:0 ✺
26.06.21	Liepāja - Metta	2:0 ✺
21.06.21	Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils	0:0 ✺
13.06.21	Spartaks - Liepāja	1:2 ✺
29.05.21	Noah Jūrmala - Liepāja	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTWW
- FC Struga
Club Friendly
30.06.21	Struga - Teuta Durrës	2:1 ✺
26.06.21	Struga - Shkupi	1:1 ✺
24.06.21	Struga - Partizani Tirana	1:1 ✺
North Macedonian 1 MFL
16.05.21	Sileks - Struga	0:1 ✺
09.05.21	Struga - Vardar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTWW

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