The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liepāja 45%
Draw 26.1%
BFC Daugavpils 29%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
25%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
24.7%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +1 - Daugavpils (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - under (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Daugavpils (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Oss D. (G) 28. Korobenko A. 4. Martins M. (C) 34. Talisca 2. Straalman B. 5. Strumia L. 11. Almazbekov B. 7. Ogunniyi A. 70. Patijcuks D. 17. Melnis B. 18. Oloko E.
12. Beks J. (G) 37. Mihalcovs G. 5. Papa 8. Skrebels R. 34. Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 10. Ivanovs E. (C) 4. Mukwelle W. 11. Yakubu J. 19. Pinaskins E. 9. Traore A. 97. Kivinda D.
Substitutes
9. Crysthyan 23. Haidara A. 3. Iljins K. 29. Lakutis L. 44. Leidsman K. 77. Leite A. 22. Mushindi I. 12. Petkovic D. (G) 35. Sorokins V.
3. Ayebadiepreye D. 66. Bujanovs K. 33. Cucurs D. 27. Kopilovs M. 42. Saveljevs A. 1. Saveljevs J. (G) 20. Taty C.
Coaches
Torres C.
Kurbatov K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Melnis B. ↓, Sorokins V. ↑,
50', Martins M. 🟨,
64', Martins M. ↓, Iljins K. ↑,
64', Almazbekov B. ↓, Haidara A. ↑,
80', Korobenko A. ↓, Crysthyan ↑,
86', Patijcuks D. ↓, Mushindi I. ↑,
89', Pinaskins E. ↓, Ayebadiepreye D. ↑,
90+1', Ivanovs E. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liepāja won 3.
In recent outings, Liepāja has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Daugavpils has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Daugavpils may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Liepāja holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Liepāja has recorded 12 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:26 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Liepāja against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 22:11 goals (averaging 2.2:1.1 per game).