Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Daugavas stadions (Liepāja)

Referee: Owen T. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	TV4


	Liepāja		Víkingur Gøta

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.4	2.15	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	2.95	3.5	2.2
	3	3.46	2.31
	2.99	3.55	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2.15
	3.02	3.55	2.21
	2.95	3.65	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.47)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	2.21 ↓ (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Liepāja
31.5%

Draw
26.5%

Víkingur Gøta
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

28%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liepāja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liepāja's form might have worsened.

Víkingur Gøta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Víkingur Gøta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liepāja than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liepāja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Víkingur Gøta than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Víkingur Gøta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.6%	9.1%	77.3%

Liepāja - Víkingur Gøta Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Liepāja will win (votes: 6 - 13.6%). Víkingur Gøta will win (votes: 34 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Víkingur Gøta: 64.9% – 89.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kurakins V. (G) 72. Babic A. 55. Simic M. 6. Uskokovic L. 19. Melkis R. 22. Purtic S. 27. Diouf C. 21. Grinbergs J. 25. Karasauskas A. (C) 44. Leidsman K. 11. Diaw M.	1. Reynatrod B. a. (G) 22. Olsen A. 4. Gregersen A. (C) 18. Svensson A. 8. Gregersen B. 10. Vatnhamar S. 15. Turi G. D. 19. Ellingsgaard A. 11. Bardarson O. 17. Justinussen F. 23. Kallsberg P.
Substitutes
9. Baghdasaryan A. 24. Baidoo A. 10. Dodo 7. Doudou P. D. N. 13. Faye C. 28. Kangars A. 84. Lazarevs V. (G) 70. Patijcuks D. 14. Tidenbergs E.	25. Arngrimsson H. (G) 29. Arngrimsson I. 30. Atlason A. 20. Bjarkhamar B. 3. Brunni S. 16. Djurhuus P. 28. Hansen R. 14. Jonhardsson I. 99. Klein M. 13. Lervig J. 27. Magnussen A. 9. Nielsen J.
Coaches
Pertia T.	Poulsen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Kallsberg P. ⚽,
33', Diouf C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Leidsman K. ↓, Dodo ↑,
51', Grinbergs J. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Simic M. ⚽, Karasauskas A. (A),
64', Justinussen F. ↓, Nielsen J. ↑,
64', Bardarson O. ↓, Jonhardsson I. ↑,
68', Diouf C. ↓, Doudou P. D. N. ↑,
77', Diaw M. ↓, Patijcuks D. ↑,
77', Simic M. ↓, Kangars A. ↑,
79', Purtic S. 🟨,
82', Vatnhamar S. ↓, Atlason A. ↑,
86', Ellingsgaard A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Liepāja has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Víkingur Gøta is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Víkingur Gøta will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Liepāja
Latvian Virsliga
07.07.24	Liepāja - Riga	0:3 ✺
01.07.24	Liepāja - RFS	1:3 ✺
25.06.24	Liepāja - Metta	1:5 ✺
20.06.24	Tukums 2000 - Liepāja	2:1 ✺
15.06.24	Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Víkingur Gøta
Faroe Islands Premier League
04.07.24	Víkingur Gøta - HB Tórshavn	2:0 ✺
29.06.24	Víkingur Gøta - EB Streymur	4:0 ✺
23.06.24	Víkingur Gøta - B68 Toftir	3:0 ✺
15.06.24	Skála ÍF - Víkingur Gøta	0:4 ✺
02.06.24	KÍ Klaksvík - Víkingur Gøta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW

Upcoming Matches