Match Info

Date: 5 October 2022, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Ligorna		Casale

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	3	2.55	2.6
	3	2.5	2.69
	3	2.75	2.3
	3.1	2.47	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↑ (2.66)	2.67 ↓ (2.99)	2.53 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ligorna
30.5%

Draw
33.8%

Casale
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.6%

30%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

30.2%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Casale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casale than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	63.6%	27.3%

Ligorna - Casale Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ligorna will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Casale will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 63.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 92%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Casale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ligorna won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Ligorna won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.10.22	PDHAE - Ligorna	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Ligorna - Fossano	1:0 ✺
22.09.22	Derthona - Ligorna	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Ligorna - Castellanzese	1:2 ✺
11.09.22	Asti - Ligorna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWTLT
- Casale
Italian Serie D - Group A
02.10.22	Chieri - Casale	1:0 ✺
28.09.22	Casale - Borgosesia	3:1 ✺
21.09.22	PDHAE - Casale	Casale awarded ✺
17.09.22	Casale - Fossano	1:0 ✺
11.09.22	Derthona - Casale	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LW?WT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
15.05.22	Casale - Ligorna	1:1
02.03.22	Ligorna - Casale	1:1
17.11.19	Ligorna - Casale	1:1
17.02.19	Ligorna - Casale	1:1
28.10.18	Casale - Ligorna	1:1

Ligorna - Casale