The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Asti 24.2%
Draw 29.2%
Ligorna 46.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
28.7%
46.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.5%
27.6%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Ligorna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asti than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Asti - Ligorna Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asti won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Ligorna might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Asti won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Asti won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Ligorna
6
3
1
2
11:10
1
10
5
Asti
6
3
1
2
8:7
1
10
Last Results with these Odds
Ligorna - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 46.83%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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