Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP A - ROUND 38

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday


	Ligorna		Castanese

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	1.9	3.1	3.8
	2.08	3.11	3.3
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	2.03	3.32	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2)	3.21 ↑ (3.09)	3.5 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ligorna
46%

Draw
28.2%

Castanese
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

29.1%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

27.9%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ligorna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Castanese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ligorna than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castanese than the current prediction. (-1%)

Ligorna - Castanese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Ligorna will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ligorna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SCD Ligorna 1922
Italian Serie D - Group A
30.04.23	Pinerolo - Ligorna	0:1 ✺
23.04.23	Ligorna - Unione Sanremo	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Bra - Ligorna	4:1 ✺
11.04.23	Ligorna - Sestri Levante	1:1 ✺
06.04.23	Ligorna - Legnano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWLTT
- GS Castanese
Italian Serie D - Group A
30.04.23	Castanese - Stresa Vergante	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Vado - Castanese	2:0 ✺
16.04.23	Castanese - Chieri	3:3 ✺
02.04.23	Castanese - PDHAE	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Fossano - Castanese	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group A
21.12.22	Castanese - Ligorna	0:1

Ligorna - Castanese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide