Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Lija Athletic		Swieqi United

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.6	2
	2.9	3.75	2.05	Watch
	2.72	3.74	1.98
	2.89	3.85	2.04
	2.8	3.8	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.4)	3.75 ↑ (3.4)	2.02 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
31.7%

Draw
23.9%

Swieqi United
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

26.5%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5%

27.2%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lija Athletic's form might have worsened.

Swieqi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swieqi United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lija Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swieqi United than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swieqi United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lija Athletic - Swieqi United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lija will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Swieqi United will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lija won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Lija won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
28.01.24	Lija Athletic - Senglea Athletic	0:2 ✺
21.01.24	Żebbuġ Rangers - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
13.01.24	Hamrun Spartans - Lija Athletic	3:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
06.01.24	Lija Athletic - Zejtun Corinthians	4:1 ✺
17.12.23	Attard - Lija Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLWW
- Swieqi United
Maltese Challenge League
27.01.24	Swieqi United - Attard	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Fgura United - Swieqi United	1:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
14.01.24	Luqa St. Andrews - Swieqi United	1:2 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
07.01.24	Melita - Swieqi United	4:1 ✺
16.12.23	Swieqi United - Senglea Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
20.12.22	Lija Athletic - Swieqi United	2:2
30.03.19	Swieqi United - Lija Athletic	4:4
10.11.18	Lija Athletic - Swieqi United	2:3

Lija Athletic - Swieqi United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide