Match Info

FRANCE: Division 1 Women - Round 21

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Complexe Sportif Stadium 2 (Villeneuve d'Ascq)

Referee: Gerbel A. (Fra)


	Lille		Bordeaux

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4
	1.68	3.75	4.2	Watch
	1.7	3.69	4.01
	1.71	3.69	4.02
	1.62	3.6	4.33
	1.7	3.71	4.45
	1.68	3.7	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (2.38)	3.68 ↑ (3.25)	4.19 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lille
53.8%

Draw
24.6%

Bordeaux
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

28.4%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

28.2%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lille's performance.

Bordeaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bordeaux might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lille than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lille that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bordeaux could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Launay E. (G) 17. Machart-Rabanne J. (C) 4. Mbala O. 21. Doucoure M. 20. Johnson K. 8. Castro Boilesen M. 10. Bamenga N. 11. Boucly M. 15. Pian J. 9. Roux J. 14. Ribeyra A.	16. Lerond J. (G) 19. Karlicic J. 23. Lardez A. 5. Haelewyn M. 26. Liaigre F. 25. Diaz H. 6. Seguin M. 24. Bahlouli N. 17. Kim A. 15. Sangare H. 29. Bourgouin L. (C)
Substitutes
7. Azzaro L. 30. Beitz T. (G) 33. Delaby C. 27. Devleesschauwer G. 26. Lambert A. 25. Ollivier A. 6. Paprzycki A.	21. Autin L. 14. Dehri M. 1. Haviv A. (G) 18. Herbert A. 10. Lafaix C. 27. Pinot L. 9. Queiros S.
Coaches
Saidi R.	Dauba J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Bahlouli N. ⚽, Sangare H. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Bourgouin L. ⚽, Sangare H. (A),
30', Bahlouli N. 🟨,
39', Bourgouin L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Pian J. 🟨,
68', Seguin M. 🟨,
69', Haelewyn M. ↓, Dehri M. ↑,
73', Ribeyra A. ↓, Azzaro L. ↑,
74', Karlicic J. ↓, Autin L. ↑,
88', Bahlouli N. ↓, Pinot L. ↑,
88', Kim A. ↓, Queiros S. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 2, Boucly M. ⚽, Roux J. (A),
90+6', Roux J. 🟨,
90+6', Autin L. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 Women and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 Women).

Lille is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bordeaux has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Lille is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lille won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lille won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- OSC Lille Women
French Division 1 Women
13.04.24	Montpellier - Lille	1:2 ✺
30.03.24	Fleury 91 - Lille	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Lille - OL Lyonnes	0:7 ✺
16.03.24	Reims - Lille	3:1 ✺
02.03.24	Lille - Guingamp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.9 WTLLL
- Girondins de Bordeaux Women
French Division 1 Women
14.04.24	Bordeaux - Fleury 91	0:3 ✺
30.03.24	Reims - Bordeaux	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Bordeaux - Dijon	0:2 ✺
02.03.24	Montpellier - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Division 1 Women
25.11.23	Bordeaux - Lille	3:0
14.04.19	Bordeaux - Lille	2:1
17.11.18	Lille - Bordeaux	0:2
27.05.18	Bordeaux - Lille	1:2
03.09.17	Lille - Bordeaux	3:0

Lille - Bordeaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide