Match Info

Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 8

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday


	Lillestrøm 2		Lørenskog

	1	X	2
	5	5	1.4
	11	7	1.15
	8.43	6.06	1.24
	8.25	6.15	1.24	Watch
	9.2	6.1	1.21
	9.5	6	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.56 ↑ (5.5)	6.05 ↑ (4.6)	1.24 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm 2
10.7%

Draw
15.2%

Lørenskog
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.3%

19.5%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

19%

65.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lillestrøm 2's form might have worsened.

Lørenskog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lørenskog's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lillestrøm 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lørenskog than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lørenskog, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lillestrøm 2 - Lørenskog Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', 0 - 1, Fajfric V. ⚽,
59', 0 - 2, Fajfric V. ⚽,
68', 0 - 3, Werni S. ⚽,
72', 0 - 4, Henriksen J. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Lillestrøm 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lørenskog is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lillestrøm 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lørenskog is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lillestrøm 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Lillestrøm 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
25.05.25	Skjetten - Lillestrøm 2	2:5 ✺
13.05.25	Lillestrøm 2 - HamKam 2	2:0 ✺
04.05.25	Gjøvik-Lyn - Lillestrøm 2	4:1 ✺
28.04.25	Lillestrøm 2 - Strømsgodset 2	0:2 ✺
14.04.25	Kongsvinger 2 - Lillestrøm 2	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLL
- Lørenskog IK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
03.05.25	Lørenskog - Åssiden	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Elverum - Lørenskog	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Lørenskog - Hamarkameratene	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
21.04.25	Lørenskog - Lillehammer	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.04.25	Frigg Oslo - Lørenskog	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
23.10.22	Lillestrøm 2 - Lørenskog	3:2
22.05.22	Lørenskog - Lillestrøm 2	2:0
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
27.09.21	Lillestrøm 2 - Lørenskog	2:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 2
08.10.18	Lørenskog - Lillestrøm 2	3:1
18.06.18	Lillestrøm 2 - Lørenskog	2:2

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