Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 18

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Limianos		Vilar de Perdizes

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.83	3.3	4
	1.79	3.14	4.09
	1.79	3.28	4.67
	1.75	3.32	4.47
	1.81	3.25	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.02)	3.25 (3.25)	4.27 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limianos
50.8%

Draw
27.9%

Vilar de Perdizes
21.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45%

28%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

27.7%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limianos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Limianos's performance.

Vilar de Perdizes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilar de Perdizes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limianos than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Limianos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilar de Perdizes than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilar de Perdizes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Limianos is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Limianos won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Limianos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
28.01.24	Mirandela - Limianos	0:1 ✺
21.01.24	Limianos - Dumiense	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Os Sandinenses - Limianos	0:0 ✺
07.01.24	Limianos - Vila Real	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Limianos - Ribeirão	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTTWL
- GD Vilar de Perdizes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
28.01.24	Vilar de Perdizes - Tirsense	1:2 ✺
21.01.24	Montalegre - Vilar de Perdizes	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Vilar de Perdizes - Brito	2:1 ✺
20.12.23	Portosantense - Vilar de Perdizes	2:2 ✺
17.12.23	Marítimo B - Vilar de Perdizes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
01.10.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Limianos	3:3

Limianos - Vilar de Perdizes

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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