Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 17

Date: 28 January 2024, Sunday


	Vilar de Perdizes		Tirsense

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.8	2.15
	3.2	2.9	2.25
	3.17	2.85	2.19
	3.24	2.83	2.45
	3.19	2.91	2.28
	3.25	2.85	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.4)	2.86 ↓ (3.2)	2.26 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilar de Perdizes
28.2%

Draw
31.7%

Tirsense
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

29.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilar de Perdizes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vilar de Perdizes's form might have worsened.

Tirsense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tirsense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilar de Perdizes than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vilar de Perdizes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirsense than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tirsense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 3).

Recent matches Vilar de Perdizes is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tirsense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tirsense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Vilar de Perdizes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Vilar de Perdizes
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
21.01.24	Montalegre - Vilar de Perdizes	1:1 ✺
14.01.24	Vilar de Perdizes - Brito	2:1 ✺
20.12.23	Portosantense - Vilar de Perdizes	2:2 ✺
17.12.23	Marítimo B - Vilar de Perdizes	2:0 ✺
10.12.23	Vilar de Perdizes - Camacha	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWTLW
- Tirsense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
21.01.24	Tirsense - Mirandela	3:0 ✺
14.01.24	Dumiense - Tirsense	2:2 ✺
07.01.24	Tirsense - Os Sandinenses	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Tirsense - Vila Real	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Ribeirão - Tirsense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
17.09.23	Tirsense - Vilar de Perdizes	3:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
15.01.23	Tirsense - Vilar de Perdizes	0:2

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