Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 5

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Linares Deportivo		Minera

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.6	4.1
	2.05	2.62	4.05
	2.13	2.93	4.66
	2	3.2	3.73
	2.05	2.52	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.27)	2.77 ↓ (3.3)	4.18 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
44.8%

Draw
33.2%

Minera
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

28.3%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Minera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minera than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Linares Deportivo - Minera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Harper J. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Caramelo A. ⚽,
35', 3 - 0, Caramelo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 3 - 1, Galan M. ⚽,
68', 3 - 2, Perdomo O. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Linares has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Minera is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Minera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Linares has had a series of away games.

Recently, Minera has had a series of home games.

In this match, Linares is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Linares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Linares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Linares Deportivo - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.99%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.09.25	Recreativo Huelva - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Almeria B - Linares Deportivo	0:1 ✺
14.09.25	Linares Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Estepona - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Calvo Sotelo Puertollano - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWTTL
- CD Minera
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	Minera - Orihuela	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.09.25	Minera - Almeria B	4:0 ✺
21.09.25	Melilla - Minera	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
17.09.25	Minera - Unión Molinense	3:0 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.09.25	Minera - Estepona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.02.25	Linares Deportivo - Minera	2:0
06.10.24	Minera - Linares Deportivo	1:0

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