Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 33

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Linense		Algeciras

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3.25
	2.2	2.95	3
	2.3	3	3
	2.5	2.91	3.2
	2.34	3.08	3.1
	2.34	2.95	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.12)	2.95 ↑ (2.8)	3.09 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linense
39.3%

Draw
31.1%

Algeciras
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

32.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

31.9%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Algeciras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Algeciras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linense than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Algeciras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linense - Algeciras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Linense won 0.

Linense is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Algeciras is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Algeciras could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Linense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Linense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 3-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Linense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.04.23	Leonesa - Linense	1:1 ✺
08.04.23	Linense - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Celta de Vigo B - Linense	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Linense - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Linense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTLLL
- Algeciras CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.04.23	Algeciras - San Fernando	0:1 ✺
09.04.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Algeciras	0:2 ✺
02.04.23	Algeciras - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
25.03.23	Linares Deportivo - Algeciras	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Algeciras - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
07.12.22	Algeciras - Linense	1:0
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.03.22	Algeciras - Linense	1:0
19.09.21	Linense - Algeciras	0:4
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.03.21	Linense - Algeciras	0:1
03.01.21	Algeciras - Linense	1:1
08.12.19	Algeciras - Linense	2:0
Club Friendly
11.08.18	Algeciras - Linense	0:1

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