Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 32

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Leonesa		Linense

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.1	2.95	3.25
	2	3	3.6
	2.15	3.06	3.7
	2.08	3.18	3.58
	2.16	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.22)	3.04 ↑ (2.88)	3.46 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonesa
43.6%

Draw
30%

Linense
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

31.9%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.5%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Linense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linense than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Leonesa - Linense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Linense is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Linense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Leonesa will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
09.04.23	San Fernando - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
02.04.23	Leonesa - Linares Deportivo	0:2 ✺
26.03.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Rayo Majadahonda - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TLTWT
- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.04.23	Linense - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
01.04.23	Celta de Vigo B - Linense	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Linense - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Linense	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Linense - Badajoz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.22	Linense - Leonesa	1:0

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