Match Info

Date: 19 July 2022, Tuesday

Location: Windsor Park (Belfast)

Referee: Treimanis A. (Lat)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	CMore


	Linfield		Bodø Glimt

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.5	Watch
	6.25	4.5	1.49	Watch
	6.25	4.5	1.48
	6.2	4.4	1.42
	6.47	4.6	1.47
	6.5	4.33	1.47
	6.6	4.55	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.4 ↑ (4.2)	4.41 ↑ (3.8)	1.47 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linfield
14.7%

Draw
21.3%

Bodø Glimt
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

24.9%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

24.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linfield's form might have worsened.

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bodø Glimt's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bodø Glimt, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	5.1%	88.2%

Linfield - Bodø Glimt Predictions

Users Predictions: Bodø Glimt will win (172 of 195 users predict this - 88.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.68% – 92.74%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Bodø/Glimt is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linfield FC
Club Friendly
16.07.22	Harland & Wolff Welders - Linfield	1:8 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.22	Linfield - The New Saints	2:0 ET ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Knockbreda - Linfield	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.07.22	The New Saints - Linfield	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.22	Linfield - St. Mirren	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL
- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian Eliteserien
16.07.22	Hamarkameratene - Bodø Glimt	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
13.07.22	KÍ Klaksvík - Bodø Glimt	3:1 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
09.07.22	Bodø Glimt - Sarpsborg 08	4:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
06.07.22	Bodø Glimt - KÍ Klaksvík	3:0 ✺
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.07.22	Odd - Bodø Glimt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL

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