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Current Win Probability
Linfield 63.7%
Draw 19.3%
Dungannon Swifts 17.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65%
19.5%
15.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
18.8%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Linfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Dungannon Swifts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linfield than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dungannon Swifts than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Linfield - Dungannon Swifts Predictions
Users Predictions:
Linfield will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Johns Ch. (G) 26. Baird I. 29. Fitzpatrick M. 23. Frizzell A. 15. Hall B. 33. Leahy D. 8. McClean K. 34. McCullough D. 27. McGee E. 7. Millar K. 22. Mulgrew J. (C)
1. Dunne D. (G) 13. Alves L. 34. Bigirimana G. (C) 10. Dillon K. 21. Doyle P. 14. Glenny A. 6. Kelly T. 4. Maguire P. 67. McAllister S. 37. Smith C. 23. Wallace D.
Substitutes
10. Allen C. 21. Archer J. 16. Ballantyne C. 24. Brown S. 17. McKee C. 51. Walsh D. (G) 20. Yates M.
27. Anderson S. 16. Gordon S. 12. Henderson A. (G) 8. Knowles J. 35. Liggett E. 26. Mitchell A. 30. Moore K.
Coaches
Healy D.
McAree R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Fitzpatrick M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Dillon K. ↓, Mitchell A. ↑,
61', Mulgrew J. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, Fitzpatrick M. ⚽,
67', Maguire P. ↓, Gordon S. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Fitzpatrick M. ⚽,
71', Baird I. ↓, Archer J. ↑,
74', Millar K. ↓, Brown S. ↑,
74', Smith C. ↓, Anderson S. ↑,
74', McAllister S. ↓, Moore K. ↑,
74', Alves L. ↓, Knowles J. ↑,
82', Hall B. 🟨,
85', Doyle P. 🟨,
87', 3 - 1, Moore K. ⚽,
90+1', Mulgrew J. ↓, Ballantyne C. ↑,
90+1', Fitzpatrick M. ↓, Yates M. ↑,
90+3', Moore K. 🟨,
Preview
Linfield is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
Dungannon is Qualified for NIFL Premiership (Conference League ~ Play Offs )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 5.
Linfield has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Dungannon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Dungannon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Linfield is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Linfield won 19 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 66:14. (average 3.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Linfield won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 36:8. (average 3.6:0.8).
Outrights of Northern Irish Premiership for now
Linfield: 25.98% Dungannon: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Linfield
9
7
1
1
12:6
6
22
7
Dungannon
9
4
1
4
9:10
-1
13
Last Results with these Odds
Linfield - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 64.98%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.
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Johns Ch. (G) 
Frizzell A. 
Leahy D. 
Alves L. 
Bigirimana G. (C) 
Moore K. 
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