Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 9

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Lipno Stęszew		Bałtyk Koszalin

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.50	2.60
	2.15	3.4	2.7
	2.05	3.59	2.78
	2.15	3.72	2.78	Watch
	2	3.5	2.7
	2.08	3.56	2.88	Watch
	2.26	3.41	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.26)	3.53 ↑ (3.41)	2.71 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
41.9%

Draw
25.3%

Bałtyk Koszalin
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

24.8%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Bałtyk Koszalin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bałtyk Koszalin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Lipno Stęszew - Bałtyk Koszalin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Albinski O. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Rutowski K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Rutowski K. ⚽,
56', 🟥,

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 11th).

Lipno Stęszew is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Bałtyk Koszalin has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Bałtyk Koszalin in today's match, at odds of 2.27.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Baltyk Koszalin	11	4	3	4	15:15	0	15
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.09.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Lipno Stęszew	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	1:3 ✺
28.08.26	Luzino - Lipno Stęszew	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Lipno Stęszew - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Lipno Stęszew	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bałtyk Koszalin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:2 ✺
05.09.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Września	2:0 ✺
19.08.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Bałtyk Koszalin	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Flota Świnoujście	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWWL

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