Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Lipno Stęszew		Flota Świnoujście

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.90	1.80
	3.55	3.45	1.80
	3.19	4.16	1.75
	3.05	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.20	4.15	1.74
	3.34	4.00	1.81	Watch
	2.54	3.41	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.16 ↑ (2.54)	3.81 ↑ (3.41)	1.89 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
28.5%

Draw
23.7%

Flota Świnoujście
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

25.1%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lipno Stęszew's form might have worsened.

Flota Świnoujście has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Flota Świnoujście's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lipno Stęszew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flota Świnoujście than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flota Świnoujście, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Nowak O. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Kaczmarek D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 1 - 2, Szulc H. ⚽,
90+23', 1 - 3, Kalenik O. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Lipno Stęszew is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Flota is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Flota may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Flota will win today's game, with odds of 2.14.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lipno Stęszew won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Including home match between the teams, Lipno Stęszew won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Swinoujscie	11	4	2	5	15:20	-5	14
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Luzino - Lipno Stęszew	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Lipno Stęszew - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Lipno Stęszew	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Lipno Stęszew - Kluczevia Stargard	1:4 ✺
08.08.26	Wda Świecie - Lipno Stęszew	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Flota Świnoujście
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:5 ✺
22.08.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Flota Świnoujście	1:1 ✺
19.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Września	5:0 ✺
15.08.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Flota Świnoujście	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Flota Świnoujście - Kotwica Kórnik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.03.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	2:3
30.08.25	Flota Świnoujście - Lipno Stęszew	4:0

Upcoming Matches