Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 27

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Lipno Stęszew		Pogoń Szczecin II

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.45	2.52
	2.61	3.62	2.22
	2.43	3.6	2.48	Watch
	2.42	3.81	2.47	Watch
	2.16	3.56	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.16)	3.61 ↑ (3.56)	2.45 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
38%

Draw
25.1%

Pogoń Szczecin II
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

24.8%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

24.6%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pogoń Szczecin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Szczecin II than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Lipno Stęszew - Pogoń Szczecin II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Domagalski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Pogoń Szczecin II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lipno Stęszew won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.04.26	Elana Toruń - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Lipno Stęszew - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:1 ✺
27.03.26	Tłuchowia Tłuchowo - Lipno Stęszew	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lipno Stęszew - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TTLLT
- Pogoń Szczecin II
Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Luzino	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Września	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Unia Swarzędz - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Pogoń Szczecin II - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	3:0 ✺
13.03.26	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Pogoń Szczecin II	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.09.25	Pogoń Szczecin II - Lipno Stęszew	3:4

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