Match Info

World Championship - Qualification

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday

Location: S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas (Kaunas)

Referee: Kruashvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 5
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	LRT Plius, LRT TV
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Sky Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 5
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Tubi TV
Venezuela	Disney+


	Lithuania		Malta

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.25	6.5
	2.1	2.95	4.1
	1.98	3.05	4.45	Watch
	1.68	3.5	6.61
	1.69	3.26	6.01	Watch
	2.1	2.9	4
	2.17	3.07	4.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.13)	3.14 ↑ (2.97)	5.15 ↑ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lithuania
50.5%

Draw
30.7%

Malta
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

32.4%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lithuania's performance.

Malta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	6%	2.4%

Lithuania - Malta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Lithuania (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Lithuania (1.76) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH +1 - Lithuania (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Lithuania (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Lithuania will win (76 of 81 users predict this - 93.83%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.59% – 99.07%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lithuania will win (38 of 40 users predict this - 95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 45 Selected Experts predict this event. Lithuania (votes: 42 - 93.3%). Malta (votes: 3 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gertmonas E. (G) Universitatea Cluj 19. Upstas K. FC Hegelmann 4. Girdvainis E. FK Liepaja 3. Utkus E. Cercle Brugge 2. Tutyskinas A. Celje 6. Vorobjovas M. Istanbulspor AS 10. Sirgedas G. FK Kauno Zalgiris 13. Lasickas J. (C) Rijeka 15. Gineitis G. Torino 7. Dolznikov A. Sigma Olomouc 9. Paulauskas G. Michalovce	1. Bonello H. (G) Hamrun 22. Muscat Z. (C) Chaves 5. Shaw K. Sorrento 13. Pepe E. Marsaxlokk 15. Beerman M. Sliema 20. Paiber B. Valletta 23. Satariano A. Athens Kallithea 7. Mbong J. Hamrun 8. Mbong P. Cukaricki 9. Chouaref Y. Sion 11. Cardona I. St Etienne
Substitutes
23. Adamonis M. (G) Sudtirol 16. Antanavicius D. FC Hegelmann 18. Armalas V. FC Hegelmann 5. Beneta M. Suduva 22. Golubickas P. KuPS 17. Jankauskas E. Siauliai FA 11. Jansonas R. Arouca 8. Kalinauskas T. Kalmar 20. Lekiatas R. FK Kauno Zalgiris 21. Magdusauskas V. Banga 14. Petkevicius N. Suduva 12. Svedkauskas T. (G) FK Kauno Zalgiris	16. Al Tumi R. (G) Sliema 17. Azzopardi J. Valletta 2. Borg J. Sliema 21. Corbalan J. C. Marsaxlokk 14. Ewurum K. Valletta 10. Grech J. Floriana 19. Jones J. Notts County 4. Mentz G. Gzira 3. Overend A. Sliema 18. Reid K. Birkirkara 6. Scicluna R. Zabbar 12. Sissons J. (G)
Coaches
Jankauskas E.	De Leo E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Satariano A. 🟨,
26', Mbong P. 🟨,
35', Tutyskinas A. 🟨,
43', Shaw K. 🟨,
45+2', Beerman M. 🟨,
45+3', Dolznikov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Beerman M. ↓, Corbalan J. C. ↑,
46', Dolznikov A. ↓, Jankauskas E. ↑,
48', Vorobjovas M. 🟨,
64', Paiber B. ↓, Grech J. ↑,
65', Utkus E. 🟨,
68', Sirgedas G. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
68', Upstas K. ↓, Kalinauskas T. ↑,
74', Mbong J. ↓, Overend A. ↑,
74', Mbong P. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
76', Vorobjovas M. ↓, Jansonas R. ↑,
83', 0 - 1, Satariano A. ⚽, Overend A. (A),
86', Cardona I. ↓, Azzopardi J. ↑,
90+1', Azzopardi J. 🟥,
90+5', Muscat Z. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Gineitis G. (Pen),
90+10', Utkus E. 🟨,
90+10', Grech J. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Lithuania is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Lithuania won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lithuania
Friendly
10.06.25	Denmark - Lithuania	5:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
07.06.25	Malta - Lithuania	0:0 ✺
24.03.25	Lithuania - Finland	2:2 ✺
21.03.25	Poland - Lithuania	1:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Kosovo - Lithuania	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LTTLL
- Malta
FIFA World Cup
10.06.25	Netherlands - Malta	8:0 ✺
07.06.25	Malta - Lithuania	0:0 ✺
24.03.25	Poland - Malta	2:0 ✺
21.03.25	Malta - Finland	0:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
19.11.24	Malta - Andorra	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
07.06.25	Malta - Lithuania	0:0
05.10.17	Malta - Lithuania	1:1
11.10.16	Lithuania - Malta	2:0
Friendly
08.06.15	Malta - Lithuania	2:0

Lithuania - Malta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide