Match Info

EUROPE: World Championship - Qualification

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday

Location: Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas)

Referee: Lambrechts E. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, SporTV 2, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, YLE TV2
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	Sport 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Lithuania	LRT Plius, LRT TV
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ESPN 4 South
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	Disney+, VIX App


	Lithuania		Finland

	1	X	2
	3.6	3	2.3
	3.6	3.2	2.1
	3.6	3	2.35	Watch
	3.69	2.95	2.27	Watch
	3.87	2.97	2.3	Watch
	3.6	3	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (4.77)	3.02 ↓ (3.19)	2.28 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

Watch this match and World Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Lithuania
26.2%

Draw
31.7%

Finland
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

29.9%

50.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lithuania's performance.

Finland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Finland might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.5%	10.5%	78.9%

Lithuania - Finland Predictions

Users Predictions: Finland will win (30 of 38 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.99% – 91.91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gertmonas E. (G) Universitatea Cluj 5. Kazukolovas K. FC Astana 3. Utkus E. Cercle Brugge 4. Girdvainis E. Sandhausen 17. Sirvys P. Maribor 8. Matulevicius G. Zalgiris 15. Gineitis G. Torino 20. Milasius T. Pogon Siedlce 7. Dolznikov A. Sigma Olomouc 11. Kucys A. Celje 13. Lasickas J. (C) O. Ljubljana	1. Hradecky L. (C) Bayer Leverkusen 17. Alho N. Asteras Tripolis 15. Tenho M. Djurgarden 4. Ivanov R. Braunschweig 18. Uronen J. AIK 6. Kamara G. Al Shabab 8. Lod R. Minnesota United 14. Kairinen K. Sparta Prague 21. Hakans D. Lech Poznan 20. Pohjanpalo J. Palermo 7. Antman O. G.A. Eagles
Substitutes
12. Adamonis M. (G) Sudtirol 6. Antanavicius D. FC Hegelmann 21. Barauskas D. Leczna 23. Bertasius M. (G) Banga 10. Cernych F. FK Kauno Zalgiris 22. Golubickas P. Radomiak Radom 16. Remeikis M. Botev Plovdiv 14. Ruzgis M. Vora 2. Tutyskinas A. Celje 19. Upstas K. FC Hegelmann 18. Vareika M. Pyunik Yerevan	9. Jensen F. Augsburg 12. Joronen J. (G) Venezia 19. Kallman B. Cracovia 2. Ollila T. Paris FC 3. O'Shaughnessy D. HJK 11. Pallas N. Valerenga 16. Peltola M. DC United 10. Pukki T. HJK 23. Sinisalo V. (G) Celtic 13. Stahl A. Djurgarden 22. Suhonen A. Regensburg 5. Vaisanen L. Hacken
Coaches
Jankauskas E.	Friis J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Kairinen K. ⚽,
16', Girdvainis E. 🟨,
17', 0 - 2, Pohjanpalo J. (Pen),
39', 1 - 2, Kucys A. ⚽, Dolznikov A. (A),
42', Tenho M. 🟨,
45', Ivanov R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dolznikov A. ↓, Golubickas P. ↑,
46', Tenho M. ↓, Vaisanen L. ↑,
58', Kucys A. ↓, Ruzgis M. ↑,
61', Lod R. ↓, Suhonen A. ↑,
61', Pohjanpalo J. ↓, Kallman B. ↑,
66', Matulevicius G. ↓, Cernych F. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Gineitis G. ⚽, Golubickas P. (A),
71', Gineitis G. 🟨,
73', Milasius T. 🟨,
76', Utkus E. ↓, Remeikis M. ↑,
77', Kamara G. ↓, Peltola M. ↑,
86', Antman O. ↓, Pukki T. ↑,

Preview

Finland will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lithuania won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lithuania
FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	Poland - Lithuania	1:0 ✺
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Kosovo - Lithuania	1:0 ✺
15.11.24	Cyprus - Lithuania	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Lithuania - Romania	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Lithuania - Kosovo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Finland
FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	Malta - Finland	0:1 ✺
UEFA Nations League
17.11.24	Finland - Greece	0:2 ✺
14.11.24	Ireland - Finland	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Finland - England	1:3 ✺
10.10.24	Finland - Ireland	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
29.05.14	Lithuania - Finland	N/A
Baltic Cup
29.05.14	Finland - Lithuania	0:1

Lithuania - Finland: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide