Match Info

EUROPE: World Championship - Qualification

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday

Location: PGE Narodowy (Warsaw)

Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, SporTV 2, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Israel	Sport 3
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Q Sport
Lithuania	LRT Plius, LRT TV
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	Sky Sport Select
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 3
Norway	TV2 Play
Peru	Disney+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
South-africa	SuperSport Football
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Prime 2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+, VIX App


	Poland		Lithuania

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	13
	1.15	8	19.5
	1.26	6	13	Watch
	1.13	7.7	21.34
	1.25	5.88	12.69	Watch
	1.12	8	26
	1.27	5.77	14.2	Watch
	1.26	6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.14)	6.61 ↓ (7.64)	16.59 ↓ (23.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and World Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Poland
79.6%

Draw
14.6%

Lithuania
5.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83.6%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93%	4.7%	2.3%

Poland - Lithuania Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 40 - 93%). Lithuania will win (votes: 1 - 2.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 85.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) Bologna 15. Piatkowski K. Kasimpasa 5. Bednarek J. Southampton 14. Kiwior J. Arsenal 2. Cash M. Aston Villa 6. Piotrowski J. Ludogorets 8. Moder J. Feyenoord 19. Frankowski P. Galatasaray 10. Szymanski S. Fenerbahce 9. Lewandowski R. (C) Barcelona 11. Swiderski K. Panathinaikos	1. Gertmonas E. (G) Universitatea Cluj 17. Sirvys P. Maribor 5. Kazukolovas K. FC Astana 3. Utkus E. Cercle Brugge 2. Tutyskinas A. Celje 6. Antanavicius D. FC Hegelmann 13. Lasickas J. (C) O. Ljubljana 22. Golubickas P. Radomiak Radom 15. Gineitis G. Torino 7. Dolznikov A. Sigma Olomouc 11. Kucys A. Celje
Substitutes
18. Bereszynski B. Sampdoria 21. Bogusz M. Cruz Azul 16. Buksa A. Midtjylland 12. Bulka M. (G) Nice 22. Dragowski B. (G) Panathinaikos 13. Kaminski J. Wolfsburg 20. Marczuk D. Real Salt Lake 23. Piatek K. Basaksehir 3. Skrzypczak M. Jagiellonia 17. Slisz B. Atlanta United 7. Urbanski K. Monza 4. Wieteska M. PAOK	12. Adamonis M. (G) Sudtirol 21. Barauskas D. Leczna 23. Bertasius M. (G) Banga 10. Cernych F. FK Kauno Zalgiris 4. Girdvainis E. Sandhausen 8. Matulevicius G. Zalgiris 20. Milasius T. Pogon Siedlce 9. Paulauskas G. Dinamo Batumi 16. Remeikis M. Botev Plovdiv 14. Ruzgis M. Vora 19. Upstas K. FC Hegelmann 18. Vareika M. Pyunik Yerevan
Coaches
Probierz M.	Jankauskas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Utkus E. 🟨,
61', Golubickas P. ↓, Matulevicius G. ↑,
61', Dolznikov A. ↓, Cernych F. ↑,
68', Swiderski K. ↓, Piatek K. ↑,
68', Cash M. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
70', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
74', Sirvys P. ↓, Milasius T. ↑,
77', Piatkowski K. ↓, Wieteska M. ↑,
77', Piotrowski J. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Kaminski J. (A),
84', Antanavicius D. ↓, Vareika M. ↑,
84', Kucys A. ↓, Paulauskas G. ↑,
86', Lewandowski R. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,

Preview

In this match Poland is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Poland won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Poland - Scotland	1:2 ✺
15.11.24	Portugal - Poland	5:1 ✺
15.10.24	Poland - Croatia	3:3 ✺
12.10.24	Poland - Portugal	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Croatia - Poland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- Lithuania
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Kosovo - Lithuania	1:0 ✺
15.11.24	Cyprus - Lithuania	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Lithuania - Romania	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Lithuania - Kosovo	1:2 ✺
09.09.24	Romania - Lithuania	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
12.06.18	Poland - Lithuania	4:0
06.06.16	Poland - Lithuania	0:0
06.06.14	Poland - Lithuania	2:1

Poland - Lithuania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide