Match Info

EUROPE: World Championship - Qualification

Date: 21 March 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: PGE Narodowy (Warsaw) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sidiropoulos A. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	06:45	Optus Sport
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Belgium	20:45	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:45	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, SporTV 2, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:45	DAZN Canada
Chile	16:45	Disney+
Colombia	14:45	Disney+
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 2
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
France	20:45	L'Equipe Live Foot
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	21:45	Nova Sports 1
Hungary	20:45	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	19:45	Viaplay
India	01:15	Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	02:45	K-Vision
Israel	21:45	Sport 3
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Q Sport
Lithuania	21:45	LRT Plius, LRT TV
Mexico	13:45	Sky Sport
Montenegro	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	08:45	Sky Sport Select
North Macedonia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
Norway	20:45	TV2 Play
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 3
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Prime 2
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	15:45	Fox Soccer Plus
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+
International	19:45	Disney+, VIX App


	Poland		Lithuania

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.5	13
	1.15	8	19.5
	1.26	6	13	Watch
	1.13	7.7	21.34
	1.25	5.88	12.69	Watch
	1.12	8	26
	1.27	5.77	14.2	Watch
	1.26	6	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↑ (1.14)	6.61 ↓ (7.64)	16.59 ↓ (23.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

Watch this match and World Championship with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Poland
79.6%

Draw
14.6%

Lithuania
5.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

83.6%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Lithuania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93%	4.7%	2.3%

Poland - Lithuania Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Poland will win (votes: 40 - 93%). Lithuania will win (votes: 1 - 2.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Poland: 85.4% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Skorupski L. (G) Bologna 15. Piatkowski K. Kasimpasa 5. Bednarek J. Southampton 14. Kiwior J. Arsenal 2. Cash M. Aston Villa 6. Piotrowski J. Ludogorets 8. Moder J. Feyenoord 19. Frankowski P. Galatasaray 10. Szymanski S. Fenerbahce 9. Lewandowski R. (C) Barcelona 11. Swiderski K. Panathinaikos	1. Gertmonas E. (G) Universitatea Cluj 17. Sirvys P. Maribor 5. Kazukolovas K. FC Astana 3. Utkus E. Cercle Brugge 2. Tutyskinas A. Celje 6. Antanavicius D. FC Hegelmann 13. Lasickas J. (C) O. Ljubljana 22. Golubickas P. Radomiak Radom 15. Gineitis G. Torino 7. Dolznikov A. Sigma Olomouc 11. Kucys A. Celje
Substitutes
18. Bereszynski B. Sampdoria 21. Bogusz M. Cruz Azul 16. Buksa A. Midtjylland 12. Bulka M. (G) Nice 22. Dragowski B. (G) Panathinaikos 13. Kaminski J. Wolfsburg 20. Marczuk D. Real Salt Lake 23. Piatek K. Basaksehir 3. Skrzypczak M. Jagiellonia 17. Slisz B. Atlanta United 7. Urbanski K. Monza 4. Wieteska M. PAOK	12. Adamonis M. (G) Sudtirol 21. Barauskas D. Leczna 23. Bertasius M. (G) Banga 10. Cernych F. FK Kauno Zalgiris 4. Girdvainis E. Sandhausen 8. Matulevicius G. Zalgiris 20. Milasius T. Pogon Siedlce 9. Paulauskas G. Dinamo Batumi 16. Remeikis M. Botev Plovdiv 14. Ruzgis M. Vora 19. Upstas K. FC Hegelmann 18. Vareika M. Pyunik Yerevan
Coaches
Probierz M.	Jankauskas E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Utkus E. 🟨,
61', Golubickas P. ↓, Matulevicius G. ↑,
61', Dolznikov A. ↓, Cernych F. ↑,
68', Swiderski K. ↓, Piatek K. ↑,
68', Cash M. ↓, Kaminski J. ↑,
70', Piatkowski K. 🟨,
74', Sirvys P. ↓, Milasius T. ↑,
77', Piatkowski K. ↓, Wieteska M. ↑,
77', Piotrowski J. ↓, Bogusz M. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Lewandowski R. ⚽, Kaminski J. (A),
84', Antanavicius D. ↓, Vareika M. ↑,
84', Kucys A. ↓, Paulauskas G. ↑,
86', Lewandowski R. ↓, Buksa A. ↑,

Preview

In this match Poland is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Poland won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:1 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Poland - Scotland	1:2 ✺
15.11.24	Portugal - Poland	5:1 ✺
15.10.24	Poland - Croatia	3:3 ✺
12.10.24	Poland - Portugal	1:3 ✺
08.09.24	Croatia - Poland	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- Lithuania
UEFA Nations League
18.11.24	Kosovo - Lithuania	1:0 ✺
15.11.24	Cyprus - Lithuania	2:1 ✺
15.10.24	Lithuania - Romania	1:2 ✺
12.10.24	Lithuania - Kosovo	1:2 ✺
09.09.24	Romania - Lithuania	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
12.06.18	Poland - Lithuania	4:0
06.06.16	Poland - Lithuania	0:0
06.06.14	Poland - Lithuania	2:1

Poland - Lithuania