Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 16

Date: 17 November 2025, Monday

Location: Arena Livyi Bereg (Kyiv)


	Livyi Bereh Kyiv		Ahrobiznes Volochysk

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	6.9
	1.46	3.7	7.19
	1.71	3.48	4.64	Watch
	1.46	3.52	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.73)	3.63 ↑ (3.32)	6.56 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livyi Bereh Kyiv
60.5%

Draw
25.4%

Ahrobiznes Volochysk
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

26.5%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livyi Bereh Kyiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Livyi Bereh Kyiv's performance.

Ahrobiznes Volochysk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ahrobiznes Volochysk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livyi Bereh Kyiv than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Livyi Bereh Kyiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ahrobiznes Volochysk than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ahrobiznes (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Ahrobiznes (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Livyi Bereh Kyiv will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Livyi Bereh Kyiv will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Livyi Bereh (votes: 3 - 60%). Ahrobiznes (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Zhmurko R. (G) 44. Banada E. (C) 8. Diego Henrique 25. Kosovskyi S. 5. Samar V. 7. Shastal D. 6. Sidnney 2. Sokolov O. 17. Vorobchak N. 29. Wendell 97. Yakymiv A.	71. Khmelovsky D. (G) 2. Gavrushko I. 19. Kozak B. 10. Kuzmyn R. 5. Palyukh S. 17. Slyva R. 20. Syomka A. 8. Teplyi V. 21. Tolochko R. (C) 9. Voytikhovskiy M. 3. Zin A.
Substitutes
27. Astakhov E. 90. Bonsu N. 4. Chuev B. 23. Domolega O. (G) 11. Galoyan S. 9. Gunichev Y. 37. Heresh R. 52. Kryvoruchko O. 1. Mekhaniv M. (G) 10. Riznyk A. 21. Sukhoruchko D. 22. Tishchenko V.	4. Basovskyi D. 97. Bogomaz N. 35. Bogoslavskyi A. 79. Borovskyi A. 28. Len O. 27. Nyzhnyk A. 6. Pavlyuk K. 77. Pidkivka R. (G) 12. Potimkov I. (G) 93. Shmygelskiy B. 33. Sydorenko D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Shastal D. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Vorobchak N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Palyukh S. ↓, Sydorenko D. ↑,
46', Voytikhovskiy M. ↓, Len O. ↑,
53', 3 - 0, Vorobchak N. ⚽,
77', Diego Henrique ↓, Kryvoruchko O. ↑,
77', Wendell ↓, Bonsu N. ↑,
81', Vorobchak N. ↓, Galoyan S. ↑,
81', Shastal D. ↓, Sukhoruchko D. ↑,
84', 4 - 0, Galoyan S. ⚽,
85', 4 - 1, Syomka A. ⚽,
87', Kozak B. 🟨,
88', Banada E. ↓, Tishchenko V. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Livyi Bereh is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Ahrobiznes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ahrobiznes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Livyi Bereh is a strong favorite.

We predict that Livyi Bereh will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Livyi Bereh won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Livyi Bereh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Livyi Bereh Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
12.11.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chernihiv	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Inhulets	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:5 ✺
26.10.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Chornomorets Odesa	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	UCSA - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWTW
- Ahrobiznes Volochysk
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.11.25	Chernihiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	3:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
30.10.25	Kharkiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	4:3 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
25.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Probiy Horodenka	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
01.08.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	2:0
03.05.24	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Livyi Bereh Kyiv	0:2
29.03.24	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Ahrobiznes Volochysk	3:0

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